Premier League Winner w/o Man City Odds: Arsenal in pole, but Man Utd big price

Manchester City have utterly dominated the Premier League in recent years. Under Pep Guardiola, they’ve won the last four titles, and five of the last six as the rest of the division plays catch-up to this gargantuan juggernaut. Given his contract runs out at the end of the season, this could be the final chapter of Pep's dominance, but we will have to wait and see. 

One market that has garnered more attention during City’s dominance has been the Premier League Winner w/o Man City Odds. Below we’ve taken a look at this market and given our view on who could come out on top. 

Arsenal @ 8/13

The obvious favourites, but still a price that may well be worth backing given that Mikel Arteta’s men could well win their first Premier League title in 20 years this season. They’ve finished as runners-up to Man City in each of the last two runnings, finishing five points short in 2022/23 and two points short last term. 

They are getting closer to the title, and seem to be ahead of the other candidates in the running right now. With a solid back four, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard, they have what it takes to go all the way. Perhaps only an elite number nine is missing, but they still have enough in the tank to finish top of the Premier League without Man City. They might even get their hands on the trophy.

Liverpool @ 11/4

Arne Slot’s revolution begins in earnest this weekend, as Liverpool travel to newly-promoted Ipswich. Although pre-season has been encouraging, there’s a lot of question marks still remaining on whether he will be able to pick up where Jurgen Klopp left off. 

Given the magnitude of the former manager, it is only expected that there will be some level of drop off after his departure. We saw how Manchester United struggled without Sir Alex Ferguson and although the regression may not be as severe, I’d be surprised to see Liverpool do as well as they did last term. 

They’ve still got the likes of Mo Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai and Virgil van Dijk, as well as the talents of Trent Alexander-Arnold. So there’s a lot to like, and perhaps new ideas will be embraced, but I feel they are still some way behind Arsenal at this moment in time. The Slot project will certainly be one of the stories of the season. 

Football Odds

Chelsea @ 10/1

Really? 10/1 for Chelsea to win the Premier League w/o Manchester City is mad. The fact they are third on this list is nothing short of crazy. They finished strongly last term as Mauricio Pochettino finally found his best XI after a staggering amount of signings made by Todd Boehly. Despite a superb finish that saw them secure a sixth-place finish, he departed the club at the end of the season.

That was yet another baffling decision by Boehly, and he hasn’t stopped there this summer. He’s now made 35 permanent signings over the last two years, with Pedro Neto, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Filip Jorgensen and Omari Kellyman just a handful of their new arrivals in 2024. I don’t know where any of these players fit into a bloated squad, and the hire of new manager Enzo Maresca is a questionable one in my opinion. 

His Leicester team won the Championship, but they were not that entertaining on their way to the title. I can’t see this season ending well for Chelsea, and would rather back them to finish outside the top six than to beat every other team rather than Man City. Steer well clear. 

Man Utd @ 12/1

Erik ten Hag has a lot to prove this season, but I’m happy to be positive about United heading into this season. They’ve made some eye-catching signings, especially in defence with Matthijs de Ligt, Leny Yoro and Noussair Mazraoui all in to strengthen their leaky back-line. 

They conceded the second-highest number of shots in the league last season but a lot has changed since then, and Ten Hag has changed his tactical system. With changes behind the scenes and Ruud van Nistelrooy also coming in as a coach, it does feel like positive changes are being made around the club. Amad Diallo and Jadon Sancho are expected to be involved in the first team, while Joshua Zirkzee adds more depth in the number nine role. 

If you don’t fancy Arsenal, I think United are the next-best shout here. I’m expecting a top-four finish for the Red Devils in 2024/25 as a minimum. 

Check out our Man Utd Premier League Odds here. 

Tottenham @ 14/1

Can Ange Postecoglou build on what he built last term? It feels like Spurs have strengthened again in this window, with Dominic Solanke finally giving them an elite number nine option to replace Harry Kane. With Heung-min Son, James Maddison, Brennan Johnson, Dejan Kulusevski and Richarlison, they have a tonne of options going forward, while keeping Micky van de Ven fit will be crucial to their chances. 

Injuries at the back cost them last term, as the Australian manager had to field a makeshift back four on multiple occasions. They could do with another couple of defensive additions in my opinion, but I think Archie Gray could be a standout addition from Leeds United. I think winning the league without Man City may be beyond them, but they should be targeting a Champions League spot.

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