Premier League Stats: Key Stats & Suggested Bet for Every Match in Gameweek 5
The weekend's action is book-ended by the Merseyside derby and an Arsenal vs Man City showdown at the Emirates, with plenty of intriguing games in between.
Dan Thomas is here with the best betting angles and Premier League Stats for every match as we head into Gameweek 5...
*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com
- Liverpool vs Everton
- Saturday, 12:30
- Live on TNT Sports 1 / TNT Sports Ultimate
Key stat: Seven of Liverpool's nine Premier League goals this season have come in the second half of games, with five of those seven coming in the final 10 minutes
Suggested bet: Arne Slot's last-minute Reds did it again in midweek, waiting until the 92nd minute to secure victory over Atlético Madrid, and late goals is our angle here. The combination of a lunchtime kick-off and resolute opposition in the form of David Moyes' Everton suggests we may have a quiet opening in-store and the even money on the second 45 being the Highest Scoring Half looks solid.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Brighton vs Tottenham
- Saturday, 15:00
Key stat: After assisting on his Premier League debut at West Ham, Xavi Simons has now been involved in eight goals across his last 10 top-flight league appearances (four goals, four assists).
Suggested bet: Dutch dazzler Xavi Simons was Tottenham's big money signing in the summer and he started well at West Ham last week, picking up an assist from an inswinging corner. With Spurs looking dangerous from set pieces under Thomas Frank, we'll back Simons to notch another assist and double it with over 4.5 away corners; Tottenham's average this season so far is 5.25.
*To place this bet - you'll need to go to our Bet Builder tab on the Brighton vs Tottenham Odds page over on betfred.com...
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Burnley vs Nottingham Forest
- Saturday, 15:00
Key stat: Burnley have the highest expected goals against total of any Premier League side this season (9.4), while only Manchester United (0.17) have a higher xG per shot faced average than Nottingham Forest so far (0.15).
Suggested bet: If this was Dyche vs Nuno, a 0-0 would have been on the cards, but it's Parker vs Postecoglou, who has already conceded six goals in his first two games as Forest boss. With the Clarets far from solid themselves, we'll back BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals at 6/5 here.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- West Ham United vs Crystal Palace
- Saturday, 15:00
Key stat: West Ham have failed to win any of their last seven home Premier League games, losing each of their last three, while Crystal Palace have lost just two of their last 17 away league matches
Suggested bet: After two home hammerings by Chelsea and Tottenham, the last thing Graham Potter probably wanted was another London derby in front of the disaffected Hammers support. They face a Palace outfit in rude health under Oliver Glasner and the 7/5 on the away win looks very chunky.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Wolves vs Leeds United
- Saturday, 15:00
Key stat: Leeds' Premier League games this season have seen fewer shots on target than any other side (19), with Daniel Farke's men having the fewest (8) and facing the joint-third fewest attempts on target (11).
Suggested bet: It's been a horror start to the season for Wolves, without a single point so far, while Leeds have failed to score in three games since edging past Everton 1-0 in their opener. With a nervy game on the cards, we'll take a chance on under 1.5 goals at 7/4.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Manchester United vs Chelsea
- Saturday, 17:30
- Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Key stat: This is the most drawn fixture in Premier League history, finishing level 27 times;14 of those draws have come at Old Trafford
Suggested bet: A limp performance in the Manchester derby piled yet more pressure on Ruben Amorim but they have a good home record against Chelsea, unbeaten in the last 12, and they should have enough to avoid defeat here against a Blues side who had a tough midweek match in Munich.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Fulham vs Brentford
- Saturday, 20:00
- Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Key stat: Both Teams to Score paid out in a joint league-high 27/38 of Fulham's Premier League matches last season, including in both meetings with Brentford
Suggested bet: Both teams come into this west London derby in confident mood, with Fulham winning very late on against Leeds and Brentford beating Aston Villa on penalties in the Carabao Cup in midweek having won a late point when hosting Chelsea last weekend. They'll both fancy their chances and the 4/5 on the net bulging at either end looks fair.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Bournemouth vs Newcastle United
- Sunday, 14:00
- Live on Sky Sports Premier League
Key stat: After opening day defeat to Liverpool, Bournemouth have won each of their last three games in the Premier League, while Newcastle have gone three away league games without scoring.
Suggested bet: Bournemouth have been one of the top performers in the early part of the season and they will fancy their chances against a Newcastle side who have been toothless on the road and come off the back of a Champions League match on Thursday night. The 6/4 on a win for the Cherries looks a good price.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Sunderland vs Aston Villa
- Sunday, 14:00
- Live on Sky Sports Main Event
Key stat: Sunderland are looking to win three consecutive home Premier League matches, while Aston Villa have failed to score in their last five league games.
Suggested bet: 'We've scored a goal,' sang the Villa fans as their team finally found the net in the Carabao Cup in midweek but it was to no avail in the end as Brentford won on penalties. They travel to a Sunderland side in good form on home soil and who've had a full week to prepare. We'll back the Black Cats to avoid defeat and Under 2.5 Goals at 13/8.
*To place this bet, you'll need to go to the Bet Builder tab on the Sunderland vs Aston Villa Odds page over on betfred.com
Odds correct at time of publishing.
- Arsenal vs Manchester City
- Sunday, 16:30
- Live on Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
Key stat: Erling Haaland has scored four goals in six Premier League appearances against Arsenal, while he has 19 goals in 20 league games in London.
Suggested bet: It's rare you'll see Man City priced up at 11/4 for a Premier League match, but Pep Guardiola's men are winless in four league games against Arsenal, so it's easy to see why the Gunners are favourites. However, we'll swerve the match odds here and back Erling Haaland to find the net at a chunky 6/4. He's scored five goals already in the league this season - 11 if you include internationals - and very much enjoys his visits to the capital.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:
- Stakes: 40
- Returns: 28.63
- Profit: -11.37
You can check out all of Today's Football Fixtures and Football Betting Tips in our dedicated sections on the website.
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