Premier League Stats: Key Stats & Suggested Bet for Every Match in Gameweek 3

After landing five winners at good prices last weekend, Dan Thomas returns with the stats and best bets for the third round of action, which begins with a West London derby on Saturday lunchtime. 

Check out our man's selections and Premier League Stats for every match in Gameweek 3... 

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

• Chelsea vs Fulham 
• Saturday, 12:30 
• Live on TNT Sports 

Key Stat: New Chelsea striker João Pedro has been involved in six goals in his last four games in all competitions for the Blues (four goals and two assists), with four goals in four starts for Enzo Maresca's men.  

Suggested Bet: It's been a fine start to life in West London for Pedro and he can be backed at 11/10 to score anytime in the early kick-off on Saturday. Fulham have a terrible record against their near neighbours, winning only three of their 36 Premier League clashes, so we can expect the former Brighton man to have plenty of chances to add to his tally.  

• Manchester United vs Burnley 
• Saturday, 15:00 
• No Live UK TV

Key Stat: Manchester United have lost eight of their last 13 home Premier League matches, winning only two of these, while Burnley have avoided defeat in five of their last nine visits to Old Trafford. 

Suggested Bet: Pressure has ramped up on Ruben Amorim after Wednesday's embarrassing Carabao Cup exit to League Two Grimsby and he may well have preferred an away match given their terrible form at OT. Burnley have won both matches since opening day defeat at Tottenham and the 2/1 on Scott Parker's men avoiding defeat looks too big. 

• Sunderland vs Brentford 
• Saturday, 15:00
• No Live UK TV

Key Stat: Brentford have won their last eight Premier League matches against newly promoted teams by an aggregate score of 28-6 and haven't lost to a promoted side since defeat at Burnley in March 2024. 

Suggested Bet: Brentford have bounced back well since their opening day reverse at Nottingham Forest, with impressive wins over Aston Villa and Bournemouth. They face a Sunderland side beaten by Burnley and League One Huddersfield since a win over a poor West Ham outfit in gameweek 1. We'll back Brentford to avoid defeat and add in under 2.5 goals to give us a price of 13/10. 

• Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth 
• Saturday, 15:00 
• No Live UK TV

Key Stat: Richarlison has been involved in 16 goals across his last 21 Premier League starts for Tottenham (with 13 goals and three assists) and has already picked up two goals and an assist so far this season. 

Suggested Bet: Richarlison's numbers may surprise a few given the narrative over the Brazilian, but his class has never been in doubt - it's been his inability to stay fit. Thomas Frank appears to be getting the best out of the former Everton man and we'll back Tottenham's number 9 to score in a home win at 9/5.  

You'll need to add this double via our Bet Builder tab on the Tottenham Hotspur vs Bournemouth market page (linked to via the banner below)

• Wolves vs Everton 
• Saturday, 15:00 
• No Live UK TV

Key Stat: Everton haven't conceded more than once in any of their last 13 away Premier League matches, avoiding defeat in nine of these games, while Wolves have had the fewest shots of any team across the first two gameweeks, with just 15. 

Suggested Bet: They were involved in a five-goal thriller in the Carabao Cup in midweek but it's been a turgid start to the season for Wolves, failing to score and losing both games. With Everton's last four Premier League games all seeing fewer than three goals, we'll back the Toffees to avoid defeat and under 2.5 goals at 7/5. 

You'll need to add this double via our Bet Builder tab on the Wolves vs Everton market page (linked to via the banner below) 

• Leeds United vs Newcastle United 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key Stat: Leeds midfielder Anton Stach has created seven chances in the Premier League so far this season, the most of any player. 

Suggested Bet: Daniel Farke's £17m signing of Stach from Hoffenheim didn't make many headlines but he has made a good early impression, carving out plenty of chances in his first two games in a Leeds shirt. Facing a Newcastle team licking their wounds after that dramatic defeat to Liverpool, we'll back the German international to pick up an assist at a chunky 7/1.  

• Brighton vs Manchester City 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key Stat: Between 2017/18 and 2023/24, Brighton only avoided defeat in two of 14 Premier League games against Man City but they didn't lose against Pep Guardiola's men last season, winning 2-1 at home and drawing 2-2 at the Etihad. 

Suggested Bet: Early season conclusions are always to be taken with a pinch of salt - City were definite title contenders after beating Wolves, then 'worryingly bad' against Tottenham. But safe to say they haven't got into their stride yet and will find it tough against a Brighton team buoyant after a 6-0 midweek win in the Carabao Cup. We'll back the Seagulls to avoid defeat in a double with Over 2.5 Goals at 5/2. 

• Nottingham Forest vs West Ham United 
• Sunday, 14:00 
• Live on Sky Sports

Key Stat: Chris Wood has scored eight Premier League goals against West Ham and has eight goals in his last 10 home appearances for Forest.  

Suggested Bet: It's been a disastrous start to the season for West Ham, losing all three games and star man Jarrod Bowen arguing with fans. Forest are looking for their fourth consecutive victory over the Hammers and it's hard to see any other result. We'll back a home win with in-form frontman Wood scoring at 2/1. 

You'll need to add this double via our Bet Builder tab on the Nottingham Forest vs West Ham market page (linked to via the banner below) 

• Liverpool vs Arsenal 
• Sunday, 16:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key Stat: The last three Premier League games between the teams at Anfield have all been drawn, while the Gunners are winless in their last 12 away games against the Reds and Liverpool are winless in six league matches against Mikel Arteta's men.  

Suggested Bet: An early season blockbuster as last season's top two meet and it's hard to separate them, despite Arsenal looking more ruthless in the first two games. There are generally goals when these two meet so we'll take the Draw and Both Teams to Score price of 16/5. 

• Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace 
• Sunday, 19:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key Stat: Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 19 home Premier League matches, while Palace have lost just two of their last 16 on the road. 

Suggested Bet: Sunday evening entertainment isn't on the cards when these two meet for a 7pm kick-off at Villa Park, with only three goals scored in total, across both of their first two matches. We'll double up the stalemate with under 2.5 goals, giving us the 0-0 and 1-1 scorelines, at a decent looking 7/2.  

Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 20
• Returns: 17.68
• Profit: -2.32

You can check out all of Today's Football Fixtures and Football Betting Tips in our dedicated sections on the website.