Peterborough vs Fleetwood Prediction: Posh to bounce back after Saturday’s humiliation

 | 15th April | 

4 mins read

Peterborough United boss Darren Ferguson will be expecting a big response from his side on Tuesday evening as they host Fleetwood Town at London Road (KO, 19:45). Posh are all but certain of a place in the League 1 play-offs but a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Oxford United on the weekend has left their top-two hopes in the balance.

Fleetwood, meanwhile, beat Northampton Town 2-0 on Saturday to keep their survival dream alive. The Cod Army are still six points off 20th-placed Burton Albion, but a win in midweek could - depending on other results - push them from 23rd to 21st. Below you can read our Peterborough vs Fleetwood prediction, featuring match odds and betting tips.

Peterborough vs Fleetwood Betting Tips

  • Peterborough to win & over 2.5 goals @ 10/11
  • Harrison Burrows to score anytime @ 9/2

After defeat to Oxford United coincided with Derby County's 3-0 win over Leyton Orient, Peterborough are now nine points behind their automatic promotion rivals, though the Posh do have two games in hand on the Rams. Bolton Wanderers are also five points ahead of the 2023/24 EFL Trophy winners having played one game more.

A six-match winless run looked to have ended Fleetwood's survival hopes but victory over Northampton has given them some encouragement. Carlisle's 1-0 loss to Blackpool on the same day has also ensured that the Cod Army will not finish bottom of League 1.

Charlie Adam now has the tough task of engineering a first win on the road since February 6, when they beat Bristol Rovers 2-0. That was just their third away victory in the league, with only Carlisle (15), Cambridge United and Cheltenham (both 16) collecting fewer points than their tally of 17.

Team News

Jeando Fuchs and Michael Olakigbe missed the weekend trip to the Kassam Stadium and the duo look set to miss out again, while Ferguson could ring the changes after the 5-0 thrashing.

Jonson Clarke-Harris, David Ajiboye, Romoney Crichlow-Noble and Emmanuel Fernandez were introduced at the start of the second half against Oxford United and will all be in contention to start on Tuesday.

Fleetwood may opt to name an unchanged XI after claiming all three points on Saturday.

Match Odds

Peterborough are 2/5 to respond to Saturday's disaster with victory over Fleetwood, giving the hosts an implied win probability of 71.4%. The visitors can be backed at 6/1 - or a 14/3% chance, while the draw is available at 4/1.

Both teams to score is 8/11 and over 2.5 goals can be found at 8/15.

Peterborough to win & over 2.5 goals @ 10/11

No League 1 club has been involved in more games with over 2.5 goals than Peterborough (29) this season, with 16 of their 21 games at London Road ending with at least three goals scored.

Furthermore, their last 14 wins in all competitions have seen at least three goals scored, so that seems like a sensible selection to back on Tuesday.

The Posh should be fired up to right the wrongs of Saturday's harrowing defeat, knowing a win would keep them in the hunt to finish second and secure automatic promotion.

Over half (12/21) of Fleetwood's away outings, meanwhile, have seen over 2.5 goals land. That includes a recent trip to Oxford United at the start of this month, when they lost 4-0.

A draw won't really do for Fleetwood, so if they go a goal behind or are level late on, expect them to attack in numbers, which could create space for the Peterborough attackers to exploit.

The same can be said for the Posh, who really need all three points if they want to push for automatic promotion. I think they will get the victory they require, and we could see plenty of goals to go along with it.

Harrison Burrows to score anytime @ 9/2

The newly-crowned League 1 Player of the Year has scored 12 goals for the Posh this season, half of them arriving in the league. His most recent strike came in Peterborough's last home game, a 3-0 win over Port Vale, as he found the net from the penalty spot. That was his fourth successful penalty of the season - all of them coming since the start of February.

Prior to that win over the Valiants, Burrows scored the two goals that sank Wycombe Wanderers in his side's 2-1 victory in the EFL Trophy final.

9/2 feels like generous odds for a player with three goals in his last three appearances, and nine this calendar year so far.

Check out the rest of our Football Betting Tips here.

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