Norwich vs West Brom Prediction: Draw on the cards

The race for the final two play-off spots in the Championship is hotting up, and one of the key contenders, West Brom are in action on Saturday afternoon. The Baggies face a tough trip to Norwich, as Johannes Hoff Thorup’s men still have outside aspirations of a top six finish.
Below you can find my Norwich vs West Brom predictions featuring team news and betting tips.
Norwich vs West Brom Betting Tips
*odds correct at the time of writing
Team News
The positive news from a Norwich perspective was the return of Marcelino Nunez against Bristol City, and after completing half an hour off the bench, he should be fit to start in midfield. Jose Cordoba was withdrawn just after the 50-minute mark in that game and could drop out of the team entirely after playing for Panama over the international break.
Kenny McLean could switch to left-back with Callum Doyle another option in the middle of defence if Thorup wants to make a change. Up top, the magic front three of Ante Crnac, Josh Sargent and Borja Sainz should all play, with Sainz currently leading the race for the Golden Boot with 17 goals. The Norwich manager confirmed that number one Angus Gunn will return in goal after his injury, which will provide a massive boost to the side.
Norwich vs West Brom Stats
- Norwich have drawn four of their last eight games 1-1
- West Brom have drawn their last three away games
- Norwich have the highest BTTS success rate in the league
West Brom went 4-4-2 in their last match under S̶t̶e̶v̶e̶ B̶r̶u̶c̶e̶ Tony Mowbray. Karlan Grant and Adam Armstrong started up front in the 1-1 draw with Hull but I feel there could be tweaks made, especially when the talents of Tom Fellows and Grady Diangana were only called upon from the bench. The rarely-spotted Daryl Dike made an appearance as well and could feature again, but Darnell Furlong remains suspended.
Norwich are priced at 13/10 to win this game having won eight of their 19 home matches this term. That gives them an implied win probability of 43% against WBA, with the visitors priced at 11/5 to grab an important three points. A draw is 9/4, BTTS is 4/5, and over 2.5 goals is 1/1 having come in during 50% of Norwich matches so far.
Unsurprisingly, Sargent and Sainz lead the first goalscorer market, and they are both priced at 11/2 to find the net first at Carrow Road.
Draw @ 9/4
Just feels right doesn’t it? Norwich are a good team that have not been on a good run and West Brom are a good team that have been consistent, but have drawn their last three away games. With Sargent and Sainz, Norwich should be able to put them under a decent amount of pressure while the big factor for the home side is the return of Gunn in goal.
George Long just isn’t up to scratch as a goalkeeper at this level, whereas Gunn is one of the finest in the division. I’m expecting more from the Canaries after the international break, but West Brom are a stubborn outfit with a decent manager of their own. Good value on the draw in my eyes.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Correct score 1-1 @ 11/2
This feels even better than the draw in terms of value. Norwich have drawn four of their last eight games 1-1, and both teams have scored in seven of those eight matches. Meanwhile, West Brom have drawn their last three away games 1-1, while their last two matches have finished by that scoreline, and four of their last six.
Sometimes a pattern emerges and you just have to follow it and I think that’s what we are going for here. Norwich and WBA sit first and third in the BTTS success rate table in 2024/25, so they should both find the net. 1-1 offers big value.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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