Netherlands vs Austria Prediction: Goals the smart bet in Berlin

 | Monday 24th June 2024, 13:01pm

Monday 24th June 2024, 13:01pm


Netherlands head into their final match in Group D against Austria on Tuesday (17:00, live on BBC Two) needing just one point to secure their place in the knockout phase.

Austria strolled past Poland last time out, but must avoid defeat here in order to have a good chance of progressing to the round of 16. Read on for my Netherlands vs Austria prediction, as well as the latest team news and match odds.

Netherlands vs Austria Betting Tips

  • Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 23/20
  • Cody Gakpo 2 + shots on target @ 13/8
  • Correct Score - 2-2 draw @ 12/1

If this match produces a winner, then that team will automatically qualify for the round of 16, and may even top Group D.

As mentioned in the introduction, the Netherlands need just one point to progress, but it could be argued that they should be home and dry after Xavi Simons' goal was controversially chalked off against France for offside.

The pressure will largely be on Austria to get a result, who may need at least a point to be sure of their status as a third-place qualifier.

Euro 2024 Odds

Team News

The Netherlands have no fresh injury concerns after their 0-0 draw with France, so Ronald Koeman could opt for an unchanged XI.

Virgil van Dijk will continue alongside Nathan Ake at the back, and Memphis Depay will spearhead the Oranje attack, with Cody Gakpo and Jeremie Frimpong joining him.

As for Austria, Marko Arnautovic will be pushing for a starting place after scoring against Poland last time out, while Max Wober and Kevin Danso could return to the starting lineup, after being dropped for matchday two.

Netherlands vs Austria Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Netherlands vs Austria page on (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

The Netherlands are 23/20 - or a theoretical chance of 46.5% to claim all three points, while Austria are 13/5 and the draw can be backed at 11/5.

Both teams to score is odds-on at 4/6, but if you fancy either team to keep a clean sheet, it's 9/5 for Oranje to do so, and 3/1 for Ralf Rangnick's side.

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 23/20

I'm expecting a goal-fest and a winner-takes-all attitude from both sides on Tuesday evening, given what's at stake for each team.

A draw would almost certainly see both sides progress to the round of 16, but it's unlikely that either Koeman or Rangnick would be willing to see their side settle for a point.

The Netherlands were understandably cautious in their tussle with France, but I can see this clash being an open one, and both sides have shown that they can contribute to entertaining encounter.

There have been over 2.5 goals in six of the Netherlands’ last seven matches, while Austria have scored in 16 of their last 17 matches and both teams have scored in four of Das Team's last five matches.

BTTS and ovr 2.5 goals at 23-20

Cody Gakpo 2 + shots on target @ 13/8

Cody Gakpo is the focus of my attention when focusing on the player markets.

The Liverpool man has looked a goal threat in both of the Netherlands' matches so far - he scored against Poland and tested France goalkeeper  Mike Maignan with an excellent strike in the 16th minute.

I think that 13/8 represent good value for the former PSV Eindhoven man to hit the target on a couple of occasions.

Cody Gakpo to have 2+ shots on target at 13-8

Correct Score - 2-2 draw @ 12/1

While both sides are likely to get forward, I can see them cancelling each other out and as the game goes on, which is why I'm predicting a 2-2 scoreline.

As mentioned, a draw would likely take both sides through the last 16 barring some unexpected results elsewhere. The pair seem fairly evenly matched and while the Dutch are favourites, they have held a lead for just seven minutes at Euro 2024 so far.

2-2 draw at 12-1

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Betfred are running their famed Double Delight & Hat-trick Heaven Pre-Match offer on this match, meaning that if a player scores first and then nets again, you will be paid at double the odds. If he grabs a hat-trick, you will be paid at treble the odds!

You can read all our latest Euro 2024 Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.

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