Moldova vs Albania Prediction: Eagles to claw their way to Germany

 | November 16 | 

2 mins read

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Albania head into the final international break of the calendar year knowing a draw in Moldova on Friday evening (17:00) will secure qualification to Euro 2024.

After losing their first group game to Poland, Albania have enjoyed a six-game unbeaten run which has seen them win five.

But their opponents should be confident themselves after losing just once in their last five, form which still gives Moldova an outside chance of qualifying from the group.

Moldova vs Albania Betting Tips:

  • Under 1.5 goals @ 7/4
  • Albania to win @ 5/6

Team News

Arbnor Mucolli has received his first call-up to the Albania national team under Sylvinho, the ex-Barcelona and Arsenal defender, but Chelsea's Armando Broja misses out on the squad again. Frosinone forward Marvin Cuni has also been left out of the squad.

There are no notable changes in the Moldova squad from October, with the Tricolorii likely to be heavily dependent again on Heerenveen's Ion Nicolaescu, who has scored four of their six goals in Group E.

Match Odds

Moldova are 18/5 to win for a third time in Group E, while Albania are priced at 5/6 to claim a victory. The home side have drawn two of their three qualifiers at Stadionul Zimbru, and it's 12/5 for another stalemate there this week.

Meanwhile, both teams to score is available at 11/10, and over 2.5 goals at 5/4.

Under 1.5 goals @ 7/4

A water-tight defence has been the key to Albania's success so far, with the Eagles' defence only breached three times in the group.

They've packed a punch going forwards, too, but they're still averaging less than two goals per game (11 in six).

Moldova have also been impressive at the back, with six goals conceded in as many games a far cry from the 26 they let in during 10 qualifiers for the previous European Championship.

They're too heavily reliant on Nicolaescu at the other end, though, and shouldn't cause too many issues for Albania.

Under 1.5 goals has won in five of Moldova's six group games, and with Albania only needing a draw to clinch qualification, another low-scoring affair looks likely in Chisinau on Friday.

Albania to win @ 5/6

Goals might be at a premium, but if you're going to back one side to come out on top, then Albania look a solid bet.

Sylvinho's side won the reverse fixture 2-0 in Tirana, with Moldova only afforded one shot on target.

They only need a draw to qualify for Euro 2024, but won't want to risk going into the latter stages of the match knowing one goal could change their destiny.

A draw is tempting at 12/5, but I just think Albania's quality will shine through on Friday.

You can read all of our previews for qualifying and the tournament itself when it gets under way in our Euro 2024 Betting Tips section, so keep checking that out.


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