Millwall vs West Brom Prediction: Baggies can boing boing at the Den

 | March 28 | 

3 mins read

millwall the den

As we enter the final eight games of the Championship season, West Brom’s place in the play-offs looks relatively secure. The Baggies face a trip to relegation-threatened Millwall on Good Friday, with kick-off at 13:00 at the Den. With Neil Harris back in charge of the hosts, their survival hopes have been boosted, but they aren’t out of danger quite yet. 

Below you can find my Millwall vs West Brom prediction, featuring team news, match odds and a couple of betting selections.

Millwall vs West Brom Tips

Team News

Millwall's Michael Obafemi, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and George Saville were all in action across the international break, as was first-choice goalkeeper Matija Šarkić. All four are expected to return in time for this game, although the early Friday kick-off may see Harris rest some of them to maintain his high-intensity style. 

Jayson Molumby remains out for West Brom meaning Alex Mowatt will continue in the centre of midfield alongside Okay Yokuslu. Exciting wingers Mickey Johnston and Tom Fellows should both start, while Jed Wallace and Grady Diangana will compete for starting spots with Brandon Thomas-Asante, the Baggies only fit number nine. 

Match Odds 

Millwall are 21/10 to win this match, with West Brom the favourites at 13/10. That gives the away side an implied win probability of 43% as they look to continue their excellent form. A draw can be backed at 15/8 while in the goals markets, BTTS is priced at EVS and over 2.5 goals is 6/4

West Brom to win @ 13/10

I’m a huge fan of WBA this season. Their squad is one of the best in the Championship and Carlos Corberan has set them up in a way that makes them so difficult to beat. They've now won four and drawn two of their last six and their last defeat came on February 16. With the addition of Johnston in January, their attacking line-up now has additional goal threat, while the likes of Wallace, Diangana and John Swift are all top quality talents at this level. 

Despite Millwall’s resurgence under their returning boss Harris, a run of points that has pulled them away from the bottom three, I just don’t think they are on the same level as West Brom. They lost to Leeds last time out, needed a 90th-minute winner to get past Birmingham and couldn’t beat Blackburn Rovers. It’s four points from their last three, but the performances have been far from perfect. Against one of the top teams in the division, I’m expecting them to come up short. 

BTTS No @ 8/11

West Brom have only conceded 36 goals this term, less than one per game, and have the third-best defensive record in the league. They are so difficult to break down and their defensive duo of Kyle Bartley and Cedric Kipre is seriously impressive for this level. 

Corberan prioritises defensive organisation and teamwork, and it has worked a treat so far this term. Meanwhile, Millwall have only scored 36 in 38, and have only notched three times in their last four matches. I don’t believe they have what it takes to find the net, even on home soil, against Corberan’s well-drilled Baggies. 

 

Check out our other Football Betting Tips here. 

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