Manchester City vs Manchester United Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips: A 40/1 treble for Derby Day

It's that time of the season already - blue vs red, City vs United, Manchester divided. The 197th Manchester derby takes place at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday afternoon (16:30 BST, live on Sky Sports Main Event), and there's plenty of questions for both teams to answer.

City started the season dismantling Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-0 before suffering back-to-back defeats against Tottenham Hotspur and Brighton & Hove Albion. United's problems are well documented, but Ruben Amorim's side a point better off than their noisy neighbours in the table. Read on for our Manchester City vs Manchester United Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips below.

Manchester City vs Manchester United Odds

Double Chance - Draw or Manchester United

Remarkably for all the talk surrounding United and Amorim, the Red Devils are currently above City in the Premier League standings.

Although the Carabao Cup defeat to League Two Grimsby Town is still fresh in the minds of most, we'd argue that United's points tally isn't totally reflective of their performances.

The underlying metrics show that Amorim's side have created the most expected goals (xG) in the league, as well as the most chances and had the most touches in the opposition box. Their defensive problems remain ever-present, but United's biggest issue so far this season has been finishing their chances.

That's why our first pick for this Bet Builder is backing Double Chance - Draw or Man Utd, especially since they have a decent record in this fixture, too.

United have won the last two times they've visited the Etihad and are actually unbeaten in their last four games against City - inside 90 minutes. The international break may have allowed City to regroup slightly, but they've still had a terrible start to the season by their lofty standards.

Player Shown Any Card - Casemiro 

The experienced Brazilian is no stranger to a booking, and often feels like the 'go-to' option in big games, particularly derbies.

Casemiro has been cautioned in two of the last three games after his yellow at Craven Cottage on matchday two and then on international duty with Brazil against Chile. In fact, the former Real Madrid man missed the second fixture of the international break due to suspension.

Amorim will be trusting Casemiro's experience in this key tussle and the midfield battle is always significant in big games.

The 33-year-old looks a sensible pick to be cautioned on Sunday afternoon.

Player to Score Two or More - Erling Haaland

Finally, we finish with another 'obvious' pick, as goals and Erling Haaland go together like salt and pepper.

City's number nine already has nine goals this term for club and country in just five games, netting in all bar one game so far.

The former Borussia Dortmund marksman scored twice in the opening-weekend win at Wolves, as well as once against Brighton, before netting in back-to-back wins for Norway over the international break - including five in the 11-1 triumph over Moldova.

The 25-year-old has only made 149 appearances for City but has already scored 127 goals, and his record against United is very respectable, bagging six goals in eight appearances versus the Red Devils.

He scored a hat-trick in the 6-3 win over United at the Etihad back in 2022, so we're going to back him to score two or more this weekend.

Offers

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