Group J of Euro 2024’s qualification group continues on Friday night at 7.45pm as Luxembourg host Iceland in a crucial meeting. We’ve picked out some betting angles to try and provide you with some value this weekend.
The majority of Luxembourg’s squad now plays in Germany and the tiny country has gone from footballing minnows, to genuine contenders to qualify for their first major tournament. Midfielder Yvandro Borges Sanches is just 19 but is turning out for Borussia Monchengladbach while they have a quartet of players currently at Mainz.
They’ll hope to rely on Union SG goalkeeper Anthony Moris again, as he’s kept two clean sheets in his last two qualification matches. Meanwhile, this squad features just four outfield players over the age of 28, and is giving the nation genuine hope for the future.
Cardiff’s goalkeeper Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson will be trying to stop them at the other end for Iceland, who have a scattering of players from across Europe. Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson remains at Premier League side Burnley, while promising midfielder Hákon Arnar Haraldsson made the move to Lille this summer.
Luxembourg to win and under 2.5 goals
This is going to be an incredibly tight encounter. So far in Group J, every side has lost to runaway leaders Portugal, while also beating whipping boys Liechtenstein. It means that second place is still up for grabs, and games between the sides competing for that spot become crucial.
Luxembourg have put themselves in with a chance, having beaten both Liechtenstein and Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0. They may be ranked 89th in the world, but this young squad is surprising a few bigger names this year. If you discount their 6-0 loss to Portugal, they are yet to concede in qualification, having kept three clean sheets out of four.
Meanwhile, Iceland have lost three of their four matches, only beating Liechtenstein. A win here could take Luxembourg into the qualification spots, and it looks excellent value for them to bag a narrow win.
Daniel Sinani to score anytime
If we think Luxembourg are going to win, it makes sense to pick out a likely goalscorer to boot. Although the young strikers have caught the eye, it has been the talented number ten behind them, Sinani, who has scored twice in the last two qualification matches.
The former Norwich City and Huddersfield Town man is now at St Pauli, but his qualities truly shine through for his county. A good finisher and dribbler, his physicality also allows him to make late runs into the box and compete aerially. We’re backing him to come up with the goods again for the home side.