Luton Town vs Hull City Prediction: Hatters can get back to winning ways

Luton Town have stuck with their man when many thought they would pull the trigger. After a difficult start to the season, Rob Edwards has kept his job over the international break despite the Hatters sitting level on points with the relegation zone after 15 matches. 

Next up they host Hull City (15:00, Saturday), a side who are also on a poor run of form having failed to win any of their last seven league outings. Below you can find my Luton Town vs Hull City prediction featuring team news and betting tips.

Team News

Edwards has to start getting things right at Luton. He oversaw a 5-1 hammering at Middlesbrough last time out which saw him drop Carlton Morris to the bench, with Victor Moses, Tom Krauss and Marvelous Nakamba all named as substitutes. 

A change from the back three that he had employed throughout his career seems unlikely, but I’d expect two or three of that quartet to come back into the starting XI for this one. The Hatters have to impose themselves upon the Tigers early on, and Morris and Elijah Adebayo may be the physical front two that can make that happen. 

Football Odds

Krauss was named the club’s player of the month for October so surely he will be knocking on the door, while the back three of Mark McGuinness, Teden Mengi and Tom Holmes could be shaken up after a horror show at the Riverside. Alfie Doughty could provide a welcome boost if he recovers from the knock that kept him out of that game, while Reece Burke is also getting closer to a return. 

Meanwhile, Hull City are without Mohamed Belloumi and Liam Millar for the rest of the season as they both suffered ACL injuries, but on the positive side of things, Carl Rushworth, Andrew Smith and Steven Alzate are all nearing returns. Rushworth may not quite be match-ready just yet which means Ivor Pandur will continue in goal.

Up top, Joao Pedro started last time out ahead of Chris Bedia, while Mason Burstow was given a go out wide. Given the absentees, there are clearly opportunities to nail down a starting spot under Tim Walter, with Kasey Palmer and Ryan Giles two names who will be disappointed with the amount of minutes they have received this term. 

Luton Town vs Hull City Odds

Luton Town are priced at 19/20 to win this game, giving them an implied win probability of 51%. Meanwhile, Hull are available at 5/2, a draw is 23/10 and over 2.5 goals is 5/6. BTTS is 8/11 and both Adebayo and Morris are the favourites to open the scoring at 11/2. 

Luton Town to win @ 19/20

A straightforward first selection but one I believe will come in on Saturday. Even though Luton are in a spot of bother right now, they’ve recorded three wins at Kenilworth Road compared to one on the road. Morris and Adebayo are two top strikers and Edwards will have used this international break to try and get some confidence back into a side he took to the Premier League two seasons ago. 

This selection is mostly about Hull though. I don’t fancy them at all this term - they’ve not won in seven and sit 22nd in the form table right now. The key injuries have clearly hampered them but Walter doesn’t seem like a good fit for this mismatched squad. There’s definitely individual talent in certain areas, but cohesiveness is an issue and I think another defeat here will send alarm bells ringing for the Hull City board. 

Under 2.5 goals @ 5/6

Although I believe this game will end in a home win, I can’t see it being a classic. Luton actually rank fairly highly in the over 2.5 goals standings as 60 per cent of their Championship games so far have seen over 2.5 goals. However, those results have often been damaging defeats on the road to teams such as Boro, Coventry and Plymouth Argyle. 

At home their last two matches have ended in a 1-0 win and a 1-1 draw, and I’m expecting another low-scoring affair on Saturday. Hull are far more stingy when it comes to goals, with only five of their 15 matches so far this term having more than 2.5. That means in two-thirds of Hull matches there are fewer than 2.5 goals, and I’m happy to choose this as my second selection for that reason.

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