Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction: Goals are well and truly back at Sixfields

AFC Wimbledon, without a win in their last six league games (D2, L4), head to Sixfields Stadium on Friday night (19:45 GMT) to take on a Northampton side who will overtake them in the League 1 table with a victory.
Below are my Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon predictions, as well as the essential team news and match odds.
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon Betting Tips
Team News
Northampton midfielder Jack Perkins is suspended after receiving a red card just 10 minutes into last Saturday's 2-1 loss at Peterborough United.
Liam Shaw (knee), Jordan Willis, Joe Wormleighton and Jack Vale (all unspecified) remain sidelined for Kevin Nolan's side.
As for AFC Wimbledon, Matty Stevens is still out injured with a hamstring issue picked up in September, but otherwise, Johnnie Jackson appears to have a full complement available to him..
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon Predicted Lineups
- Northampton: Fitzsimons; McCarthy, Dyche, Guinness-Walker; Hoskins, Taylor, Campbell, Fornah; McGeehan; Wheatley, List
- AFC Wimbledon: Bishop; Ogundere, Lewis, Johnson; Asiimwe, Maycock, Smith, Hippolyte, Seddon; Bugiel, Browne
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon Odds
Northampton, without a home win in the league since November 8, take on an AFC Wimbledon side without a victory on their league travels since October 18. Friday's hosts are 13/10 to return to winning ways at Sixfields, implying a 43.5% probability of success, while the visitors are 12/5, or a 29.4% chance, to break out of a three-game winless run on the road, with the draw offered at 2/1.
Betfred are offering a couple of Price Boosts for this Friday night fixture, including Northampton to Win Both Halves at 15/2 (was 13/2).
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon Stats
- Two of NOR's last three L1 home games have gone over 2.5 goals
- Three of WIM's last four L1 away matches have gone over 2.5 goals
- Eaves (NOR) has three goals in his last five L1 apps
Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 6/4
Only four clubs have seen fewer goals scored at their home stadium in League 1 this season than Northampton (19), who have scored 10 goals and conceded nine at Sixfields, which is averaging 1.9 goals per game.
However, there were just six goals struck across their first five home matches, while their last five have produced 13, averaging 2.6 per game.
AFC Wimbledon, meanwhile, have seen 32 goals scored across their first 10 away matches in League 1 this season; only Leyton Orient (39) and Huddersfield Town (33) have been involved in more on their travels.
Seven of the Dons' 10 away games, including three of their last four, have featured three or more goals, so I'm holding out hope that we can see this line land on Friday.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Anytime Goalscorer - Tom Eaves (NOR) @ 21/10
All three of Tom Eaves' goals for Northampton in League 1 this season have come in his last five games, with two of his strikes coming as a second-half substitute.
The 33-year-old is already on three-fifths of his 2024/25 league tally (five), and he will be looking to get closer to last season's number on Friday against a side that have shipped nine goals across their last three away matches.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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