Espanyol vs Sevilla Prediction: Value in backing 19/10 chance

 | Sunday 23rd November 2025, 16:31pm

Sunday 23rd November 2025, 16:31pm

Two teams who have exceeded all pre-season expectations clash in La Liga on Monday night. Espanyol are riding surprisingly high, but Sevilla can overtake them with a victory at the RCDE Stadium.

Our La Liga Betting expert Mark Sochon is taking point on this one, providing the team news, match odds and of course his two Best Bets for the action. Let's check out his Espanyol vs Sevilla Predictions here on Betfred Insights...

Espanyol vs Sevilla Betting Tips

  • Headed Goal - Yes @ 19/10
  • Pere Milla 1+ shots on target & Roberto Fernandez 1+ shots on target @ 5/4

*odds correct at time of publication

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The hosts are in their second season back at this level. They only avoided relegation on the final day of last term, and looked set for an uncertain summer. Joan García’s cross-town move to Barcelona was a significant early blow, but they ended up having a really strong transfer window, with a number of smart signings made.

Tyrhys Dolan, Marko Dmitrovic and Kike Garcia arrived on free transfers and have all made significant contributions. Urko Gonzalez de Zarate and Roberto Fernandez also converted successful loan moves into permanent transfers, while Clemens Riedel, plucked from the German second tier, has been a surprise hit in central defence.

Manolo Gonzalez has also managed to get more out of some of his existing players. Pere Milla, who only started once last season, has top scored for Espanyol with four goals so far in La Liga 2025/26. They’ve also benefited from the creativity of Edu Exposito and Carlos Romero, who have both had excellent seasons.

Romero was ineligible a fortnight ago, as the Catalans slumped to a 2-0 defeat against his parent club Villarreal. They were also beaten 1-0 by Alaves the previous weekend, so this has been a dip in form, but Manolo’s side are still flying high in the top six.

Sevilla finished last season just one place and one point above the relegation zone. They proceeded to cash in on star players Loic Bade and Dodi Lukebakio in the summer, while their incoming transfer activity was solely limited to free transfers and loan signings.

It was therefore only natural that many feared for them this season, but the seven-time Europa League winners have been something of a surprise package too. Their new boss Matías Almeyda has adopted a more physical, high-energy approach, and they were stunning 4-1 winners over Barcelona last month.

They did then go on to lose their following three matches in La Liga. The Andalusians offered very little in attack as they slumped to a 2-1 defeat against Real Sociedad, before a 3-0 loss against Atletico Madrid.

A home fixture against struggling Osasuna provided the perfect opportunity to bounce back last time out. Despite a number of selection issues, they edged a tight game 1-0, with Ruben Vargas converting from the penalty spot in the 51st minute.

Team News

Key forward Javi Puado is expected to be the only injury absentee for Espanyol. He has been missing for more than a month now, which has led to a slight shift in approach from Manolo. He has used Roberto and Kike in tandem as a physical front two in some games, and we may see a repeat here.

The visitors are missing full-back Jose Angel Carmona to suspension, after he picked up his fifth yellow card of the campaign last time out. Defenders Cesar Azpilicueta and Tanguy Nianzou are also missing through injury.

The international break did come at quite a good time for Sevilla, though. It has enabled them to get Isaac Romero, Alexis Sanchez, Fabio Cardoso and Lucien Agoume back to fitness after recent layoffs, and all four players could feature at some stage in this match.

Espanyol vs Sevilla Predicted Lineups

  • Espanyol: Dmitrovic; El Hilali, Riedel, Cabrera, Romero; Pickel, Lozano; Dolan, Exposito, Milla; Fernandez
  • Sevilla: Vlachodimos; Sanchez, Gudelj, Marcao, Suazo; Sow, Mendy; Januzaj, Vargas, Gonzalez; Adams

Espanyol vs Sevilla Odds

Espanyol are the 21/20 favourites to get back to winning ways in this Monday night fixture. You can back the Draw at 23/10, while Sevilla are priced at 11/4 to leave the RCDE Stadium with maximum points.

If you’re expecting goals, Both teams to score is on offer at 5/6. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 11/10, while you can back the home team to score over 1.5 goals at 6/5. There’s also a Price Boost to 7/1 for Espanyol to score 1+ goals in each half, and Espanyol to win 2+ corners in each half.

Alternatively, Draw or Sevilla is on offer at 4/5 in the Double Chance market. The visitors are also available at 11/8 to win either half.

Kike leads the way as the 4/1 favourite to score first, while the veteran striker is available at 8/5 to score anytime. You can also back Roberto at 15/8 to get on the scoresheet, while Milla is on offer at the same price.

From a visiting perspective, Akor Adams should continue to lead the line, despite the availability of Romero. The Nigerian is priced at 11/2 to score first, and 21/10 to score anytime.

Espanyol vs Sevilla Stats

  • Espanyol have already scored four headed goals so far this season - the joint-second highest in the league
  • Pere Milla is averaging 3.5 shots per game

Headed Goal - Yes @ 19/10

Sevilla are currently short on defensive options, and I can see Espanyol targeting them with lots of crosses into their two strikers. Roberto is averaging 2.0 aerial challenges won per game in La Liga this term, while Kike isn’t far behind on 1.5.

Espanyol have already scored four headed goals so far. That’s the joint-second highest figure in the Spanish top flight, with Barcelona the only team to have scored more headers. Given that, I can see value in backing there to be a Headed Goal in this match at odds of 19/10.

Espanyol vs Sevilla - Headed Goal
Yes

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Pere Milla 1+ shots on target & Roberto Fernandez 1+ shots on target @ 5/4

The underlying stats suggest that of these two sides, Sevilla are the one that is over achieving. Heading into matchday 13, they ranked in the bottom three for both xG and xG allowed, which suggests they do still have issues at both ends of the pitch.

Their many returning players may also need an extra week or two before they regain full-match fitness, so this feels like an opportunity for Espanyol, who will be at full strength with the exception of Puado.

I can see their main goal threat coming through Milla and Roberto. The former is averaging 3.5 shots per game, with only Antony, Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe having more this term in La Liga. Roberto is also getting plenty of efforts away, and he’s hit the target at least once in six of his last seven league matches.

Given that, I’m using the Bet Builder to back Pere Milla to have 1+ shots on target and Roberto Fernandez to have 1+ shots on target at 5/4.

*You can check out all the Football Odds and markets on offer with us over at betfred.com

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You can check out Mark's Football Betting Tips along with those from the rest of the Betfred Insights Spanish Football writers on our La Liga home page...

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