Group I of Euro 2024 qualifying throws up an intriguing clash between two sides that still harbour aspirations of making it to the finals as Israel host Belarus.
Exciting attacking midfielder Oscar Gloukh scored his third goal in seven appearances for Israel in their 1-1 draw with Romania. The 19-year-old is currently playing for RB Salzburg and could be one of the next big midfield talents in Europe. He’s likely to star alongside Spurs winger Manor Solomon, who started on the left-wing in Romania.
Meanwhile Belarus dominated in their 0-0 draw with Andorra, but couldn’t find the breakthrough. They had 15 shots, but just three on target as they failed to get past the minnows. Forward Artem Kontsevoy is still looking to find his goalscoring touch after being introduced to the national team recently.
Israel to lead at HT
Israel should win this game on paper but the 1/3 on offer for them to do so isn’t worth touching. Instead, the 4/5 for them to be leading at half-time provides far better value. Israel absolutely battered Belarus in the away fixture, although the 2-1 scoreline and 91st minute winner tell another story.
In truth, they had 69% possession, 29 shots in total, with eight of them on target. The 2-1 scoreline, despite conceding late, flattered Belarus. This time around, in front of their home fans, Israel will want to get off to a positive start. They led at half-time in their last home match against Andorra, and can do the same here.
Israel to win and BTTS Yes
To add a bit of spice to your home win selection, consider adding BTTS Yes. Belarus’ failure to beat Andorra last time out ended any realistic hope they have of making it to Germany, given the fixtures they still have to play, but that game aside, they do know how to score goals.
Before that unfortunate 0-0 result, their previous three qualifiers had all ended with BTTS Yes, including the reverse fixture against Israel. They’ve been fairly efficient in front of goal even though they often concede the majority of possession. Meanwhile Israel, with the attacking talents of Solomon and Gloukh should be able to carve their way through this Belarussian defence on more than one occasion.
The BTTS Yes market on its own is certainly worthy of consideration at 11/10, but adding a home win gives us a lovely 23/10 shot to have a go on.