Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction: Inter to create history in Riyadh showpiece

The Milan clubs will battle it out for the Italian Super Cup glory in Riyadh on Monday night (19:00, live on Premier Sports 1).

While Inter are aiming to lift the trophy for a fourth straight season, Milan can match their old rival's tally of eight Supercup wins with victory on Monday. Read on for my Inter Milan vs AC Milan prediction, as well as the latest team news and match odds.

Football Odds

Team News

Inter Milan's top goalscorer Marcus Thuram may miss out here after being substituted at half time in the semi-final win over Atalanta. Should that be the case, Joaquin Correa and Marko Arnautovic will battle it out to start alongside Lautaro Martinez up front.

Defensive duo Benjamin Pavard and Francesco Acerbi are also absent for the final in Riyadh, but that apart, Simone Inzaghi should have a fully fit squad to select from.

As for Milan, Christian Pulisic returned from injury against Juventus last time out and could keep his place in the XI here, especially if Rafael Leao fails to recover from a knock.

Noah Okafor, Samuel Chukwueze, Alessandro Florenzi and Ruben Loftus-Cheek all remain on the treatment table for the Rossoneri.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Odds

Inter are 8/11 to win in 90 minutes, as well as 2/5 to win the tie, while a draw at full time can be backed at 5/2. AC Milan are 16/5 to win in 90 minutes, giving them an implied win probability of 23.8%, and for Sergio Conceicao's side to win the tie, it's 7/4.

Martinez leads the anytime goalscorer market at 6/4, while Alvaro Morata is shortest-priced for Milan at 11/4.

Inter Milan to win @ 8/11

There’s a reason Inter are favourites for this Milan Derby, as Inzaghi's side have won 11 of their last 13 outings. As mentioned in the introduction, history beckons for Inter on Monday, as they attempt to become the first Italian side to win four Supercups in a row at the King Saud University Stadium.

This is a repeat of the final from two years ago, when Inter triumphed 3-0, also in Riyadh, and the in-form Nerazzurri are likely to be too strong again for their Milan counterparts once again.

Looking at the recent head-to-head record also makes for grim reading for the red and black half of Milan - they've lost their last six encounters against their city rivals. One of those losses came in dramatic fashion as they got humiliated 5-1 at San Siro last season.

The Rossoneri are unbeaten in their last five but too many draws cost Paulo Fonseca his job, with his final match in charge being a 1-1 draw against Roma last Sunday.

Despite the absence of Pavard and Acerbi, I think Inter will be too strong here in 90 minutes, and lift the Italian Supercup for a fourth straight year.

Lautaro Martinez to score anytime @ 6/4

As mentioned above, with Thuram being a doubt for Monday's final, the goalscoring burden will fall firmly on the shoulders of Argentina international Martinez.

Martinez has hit seven goals in all competitions for the Nerazzurri this term but only one in his last eight appearances. However, he had eight shots in the aforementioned semi-final win over Atalanta, three of which were on target.

In 17 career appearances against AC Milan, Martinez has 11 goals, so he looks well-placed to find the back of the net against them once again on Monday.

Offers

Acca Flex: Place a pre-match 5+ leg Football accumulator and get a CASH bonus up to 100% if all of your selections win or your money back as CASH if one leg lets you down.

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.