Hull vs Plymouth Prediction: Can Argyle secure first away win?

There’s a big game at the bottom of the Championship on Tuesday night as Hull City host Plymouth Argyle at the KCOM Stadium (19:45, Sky Sports+). Hull currently sit just two points above the drop zone, and three points ahead of tonight’s opponents.

Miron Muslic saw his team put in a decent performance as their FA Cup run came to an end against Manchester City. They have a chance to boost their chances of survival with their first away win of the season, and below you can find my Hull vs Plymouth predictions. 

Team News

Eliot Matazo became the latest Hull City player to suffer an ACL injury against Cardiff, ruling him out for the rest of the campaign. He joins Liam Millar and Mohamed Belloumi on the road to recovery from the same injury, while Louie Barry has suffered from a season-ending knee injury and has returned to Aston Villa for rehabilitation. 

The bad news just keeps on coming for Ruben Selles, with Matt Crooks picking up a facial injury in training that could rule him out. Joao Pedro could come in to return in his place, while Steven Alzate could be the man to play in midfield in place of Matazo. On a positive note, Sean McLoughlin has been passed fit after having some pain in his back against Cardiff. 

Plymouth have some positive news on the injury front as captain Joe Edwards returned to the squad for the Man City defeat. He didn’t make it onto the pitch but that’s a clear sign that he could return to action here, having not featured since October for Argyle. 

Muslic will still be without Ryan Hardie, Michael Obafemi, Muhamed Tijani and Brendan Galloway for this fixture, and there are question marks around the fitness of Adam Randell. Mustapha Bundu could be forced into a central striking role in the absence of two key first-team forwards. 

Hull vs Plymouth Odds

Hull are priced at 7/10 to win this game, which is interesting given they have the worst home record in the Championship this season, with just two wins to their name. Their implied win probability of 58% feels remarkably high given they struggle for consistency. Plymouth are priced at 9/2 to find their first away win, while a draw can be backed at 13/5. 

Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 11/10, BTTS is 10/11 and Kyle Joseph is the favourite to score first at 11/2, despite not yet notching for Hull since joining from Blackpool in January. 

Plymouth to win @ 9/2

Plymouth Argyle have unsurprisingly stayed up north over the past few days, flying up to Manchester on Friday, and training at Huddersfield Town’s training ground before making their way over to Hull on Tuesday. I think that move is a smart one from the coaching staff, as they look to secure their first away win of the season at Hull. 

Now, their away form stinks. It’s the worst in the league, and they’ve amassed just five points away from Home Park, but a lot of that can be attributed to their form under Wayne Rooney when they frequently conceded at least four goals in away matches without reply. Plymouth have still only scored six away league goals this term, so why am I backing them to win?

Well, fortunately they are coming up against the worst home team in the division. Hull have only two wins and 13 home points to their name, which is why they are bang in trouble. The next-worst team at home is Derby, and they’ve amassed eight more points at Pride Park than Hull have managed at the KCOM. 

Combine that shocking home form with the amount of injuries Selles has to deal with - and Plymouth’s upturn in form since Muslic arrived - and I think we could see an away win at a big price. There is no way Hull should be as short as they are for this one, so let’s take full advantage and back an away win. 

Marcus Edwards to score first @ 7/1

He’s just absolutely class isn’t he? He’d performed extremely well for Sporting CP over in Portugal, including against some of the big boys in Europe in recent years, but found game time hard to come by this season. As a result, Burnley have picked him up on loan and he’s already shown his class. 

He made his first start against Sheffield Wednesday and opened the scoring, having impressed off the bench in two prior appearances. Given Burnley don’t tend to tear teams apart (apart from the Owls), they don’t particularly have a goalscoring number nine. That leaves the door open for somebody like Edwards to come in and score a lot of goals. We are getting great value on him to find the net first tonight. 

Offers

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