Georgia v Portugal Prediction: Back Portugal to win and keep a clean sheet

 | Tuesday 25th June 2024, 8:30am

Tuesday 25th June 2024, 8:30am

Georgia vs Portugal Betting Tips

It’s Georgia v Portugal on Wednesday, June 26 (20:00, BBC One) with one side safely through and the other desperately fighting for their lives; we don’t need to tell you which is which.

Portugal-based James Pacheco has picks from the correct score and first goalscorer markets but thinks the best bet of all is the straight Portugal win to nil as he takes us through his Georgia vs Portugal Predictions...

Georgia vs Portugal Betting Tips

  • Portugal to win 3-0 @ 17/2
  • Portugal to win to nil @ 13/10
  • Diogo Jota to be first goalscorer @ 5/1

*Please click on the linked odds above to add this selection directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).

Portugal

Suspicions that Portugal are the real deal at this tournament start to have legs.

Their last-gasp win against Czechia suggested there was still plenty of work to be done yet a few days later the 3-0 victory over Turkey suggested they used the days in between the two matches wisely to iron out some creases. Two wins, four goals, one conceded and no injury or suspension worries (bar Rafael Leao who was booked for diving in successive matches and misses this one) mean Portugal are in a pretty good place with a spot in the next round guaranteed.

As ever, the question is whether it’s best to try to keep on winning by picking your best XI and try to keep the momentum going or give the most important players a much-needed rest with bigger battles ahead. My guess is there should be plenty of changes here so the predicted XI is just that, predicted.

Ronaldo might not like sitting this one out but it’s in the team’s best interest that he does so.

Possible Starting XI: Costa, Dalot, Danilo, A Silva, Mendes, Palhinha, Nunes, Ruben Neves, Neto, Jota, Felix.

Georgia

A point against Czechia must be seen as a pretty good result for a country making their debut at the Euros.

Unfortunately, they had lost 3-1 to Turkey before that so they’re currently bottom on goal difference.

They’d probably need to beat Portugal here and then wait and see what happens in the other match, but a draw and two points is highly unlikely to be enough to get through as one of the best third-placed teams.

A point here looks highly unlikely though, even if Portugal do make quite a few changes. That draw with Czechia saw G Marardashvilli make 11 saves while his Czechia counterpart made none, suggesting they got away with one. This may be one tournament too soon for this inexperienced side to live to fight another day.

Possible Starting XI: Mamardashvili, Dvali, Kashia, Kverkvelia, Tsitaishvili, Mekvabishvili, Kochorashvilli, Kakabadze, Kvaratskhelioa, Mikautadze, Davitashvilli.

Georgia vs Portugal Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Georgia vs Portugal Euro 2024 market page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

The theory that the team desperate to win while the other has little to play for has extra levels of motivation which could make all the difference here, doesn’t wash.

Not only are Portugal at a very different level but while Georgia’s players are playing for a place in the next round, Portugal’s are playing for starting places in the next round.

4/11 isn’t too bad a price on Portugal considering all that but it would still be wrong to bet a price that short when they don’t need to win. Let’s move on.

Correct Score

Georgia may have scored in both their matches to date but Portugal were a bit unlucky to have conceded from a long-range effort against Czech and were pretty comfortable in defence against a Turkey side who looked dangerous in their first match (against Georgia) but were a bit blunt against Portugal’s organised defence, which last match was a back four.

So, we fancy the Portugal clean sheet but how many can they get? There’s no shortage of attacking talent on display, whichever XI they pick, and are very capable of getting three in a repeat of their win over Turkey; 3-0 is 17/2.

To win to nil

Going back to the above, I really can’t see Georgia scoring here, partly because they’re going to be very unlikely to see much of the ball.

Let’s remember that they had little in the way of possession from those first two matches and things are only going to get harder.

This could be 1-0 and Roberto Martinez’s men settle for that, or they could get plenty more, but a win to nil at 13/10 looks pretty decent.

Goalscorers

In a game like this where it’s not easy to predict starting line-ups, I prefer to go for a first goalscorer rather than a player to score anytime. That way if a player comes on at the end the bet will stand even if he’s only on for a few minutes while if you back him for first goalscorer, the bet will be void if he comes on after the first goal of the match is scored.

With all that in mind, I’ll go for Diogo Jota, who I expect to get a start here and will either play as the main striker in place of Ronaldo or as the second striker if Ronaldo does keep his place.

Jota has an excellent scoring record for club and country and was unfortunate to have a goal ruled out for offside shortly after coming on against Czechia. He always looks lively and is worth a punt at 5/1.

*Remember, you can check out all the latest Euro 2024 Odds over on betfred.com.

Betfred Match Offers

Goal Fever

Throughout Euro 2024, Betfred are offering all customers a 25% cash bonus if your selected team in the Match Result market wins by 3+ Goals on selected matches. This is one of those games, so any bet on Georgia or Portugal to win could see 25% winnings, should they do so by three or more.

Jamie Pacheco primarily covers Cricket and Portuguese football for us here at Betfred Insights and he'll be following the Portuguese national side throughout the Euro's for us. You can check out his and all the other Football Betting Tips from our writing staff on our main Football hub page.

Share Article

(Visited 87 times, 1 visits today)