Fulham vs Liverpool Prediction: Cottagers can trouble Reds in west London

Liverpool took a step closer to the 2024/25 Premier League title with a 1-0 win over Merseyside rivals Everton on Wednesday, a result that restored the Reds' 12-point advantage over nearest challengers Arsenal with just eight rounds of fixtures remaining.

Next up for Arne Slot's side is a trip to Craven Cottage this Sunday (14:00, Sky Sports Main Event), where they take on ninth-place Fulham, who will be looking to get their European push back on track after suffering a 2-1 defeat to the Gunners on Tuesday. Below are my Fulham vs Liverpool predictions, complete with all the latest team news and match odds.

Team News

Reiss Nelson (hamstring), Kenny Tete (knee) and former Liverpool winger Harry Wilson (ankle) have all missed 10+ games for Fulham in 2025 due to injury, and the trio will be absent again on Sunday.

Raul Jimenez got the nod to lead the line against Arsenal in midweek but the Mexican striker may struggle to keep his starting spot this weekend following Rodrigo Muniz's goalscoring substitute appearance in north London.

Football Odds

Alex Iwobi, Andreas Pereira, Willian and Ryan Sessegnon also came off the bench at the Emirates Stadium, and the quartet will be pushing for involvement from the start against Liverpool.

The visitors will continue to assess the availability of Alisson Becker and Conor Bradley for Sunday's trip to Craven Cottage.

Brazilian shot-stopper Alisson suffered a head injury on international duty last month and missed Liverpool's midweek victory in the Merseyside derby due to concussion protocols, while Northern Ireland right-back Conor Bradley has missed his side's last seven games with a hamstring injury.

With Trent Alexander-Arnold (ankle) and Joe Gomez (hamstring) still in the treatment room, midfielder Curtis Jones was given the nod at right-back over Jarell Quansah on Wednesday, and the 24-year-old is in line for another start in an unfamiliar position.

“Of course, Trent [Alexander-Arnold] and Joe [Gomez] will not be back in the upcoming weeks. Conor, we have to wait and see if he is ready to be with the squad for Sunday," said Slot.

“Then of course Curtis is an option because he did well, but I think Jarell [Quansah] did well a few times in that position also. Let’s wait and see which decision we make on Sunday.

“And with Ali[sson], it is simple: it is a concussion and you have to tick all the boxes. The moment he does, he will be in goal. The moment he doesn’t, we are following the protocol."

Caoimhin Kelleher deputised for Alisson against Everton and will keep his place between the sticks if Liverpool's number one isn't passed fit.

Fulham vs Liverpool Odds

Fulham haven't beaten Liverpool at Craven Cottage since December 2011 and are 16/5 underdogs to end that seven-game winless run on Sunday, implying a 23.8% probability. The visitors, who are unbeaten on their league travels this season, are 9/10, or a 52.6% chance, to chalk up an 11th Premier League away victory.

Two of the last three meetings - in all competitions - between Fulham and Liverpool have ended in a draw, and you can back a third stalemate in four at 11/4.

Both teams to score, a winner in six of the last eight head-to-heads in the league - is priced at 8/11, and over 2.5 total goals at 4/5.

The Premier League's leading marksman this season, 27-goal Mohamed Salah, is 21/20 favourite in the anytime market, but the Reds star hasn't scored in any of his previous three appearances against the Cottagers. Next up in the market is Wednesday's match-winner Diogo Jota (2/1), who has found the net in his last two games against Fulham.

Jimenez (21/10) is considered most likely to strike anytime for the hosts, followed by Muniz (9/4).

Double Chance & BTTS - Draw or Liverpool & Yes @ 11/10

Liverpool head into this contest as favourites, particularly following Wednesday's Merseyside derby win and Fulham's run of three defeats in four.

However, two of those losses for the Cottagers came away from home, and the one at Craven Cottage was in the FA Cup.

Silva's side have lost twice at home in the league this calendar year, but they remain their only two Premier League defeats in nine games since November 23 (W3, D4).

Even in defeat, like on Tuesday at the Emirates, or when they play poorly, Fulham usually get on the scoresheet, blanking in just 13.3% (four) of their 30 league games this season.

Unsurprisingly, the west Londoners top the Premier League BTTS table, with 73% (22) of their fixtures so far seeing at least one goal on either side, and it's a selection that has landed for punters in nine of their last 13 league games.

Only three clubs are lower in the BTTS table than Liverpool, who have only traded goals in 53% (16) of their 30 matches. However, two of their last three away trips in the league have seen both teams score, and both ended in 2-2 draws (v Everton and Aston Villa).

The Reds are second only to Arsenal in the 'goals conceded' column, allowing 27 goals compared to the Gunners' 25, yet they've kept just five clean sheets across 12 league contests this calendar year, with BTTS - Yes a winning selection in the other seven.

Fulham and Liverpool exchanged four goals in December's reverse fixture at Anfield as the hosts twice came back from a deficit - with 10 men - to claim a point in L4, while both teams to score has landed in the last five meetings between the two clubs (in all competitions). The Merseysiders avoided defeat in all five of those games, winning three of them, and I expect Sunday's visitors to make the trip back home with at least a point, although it's unlikely to be straightforward for Slot's charges.

The double chance result and BTTS - Yes, then, looks like the most sensible selection at over EVS.

Player to Receive a Card - Virgil van Dijk (LIV) @ 4/1

Liverpool skipper Virgil van Dijk has only been booked three times in 30 Premier League appearances this season, but I believe there is value in backing him for a card on Sunday.

The 33-year-old is averaging 0.5 fouls per 90 in the league this term but committed two against Everton in midweek, and at Craven Cottage this weekend, could be up against either Jimenez or Muniz, who win, on average, 1.5 and 2.8 fouls per 90, respectively.

Muniz started in last season's corresponding fixture and won three free-kicks, one of which was conceded by Van Dijk, who was shown a yellow for a foul on Pereira in a Carabao Cup semi-final first-leg victory over Fulham at Anfield three months earlier, a match in which he also unfairly upended Jimenez.

Van Dijk's last league caution came on February 16, but he has gone into the referee's notebook twice since, firstly for Liverpool in their Uefa Champions League first leg against Paris Saint-Germain on March 5, and more recently for the Netherlands in their Uefa Nations League first leg draw against Spain on March 20.

In total, he has been booked eight times for club and country in 2024/25, and up against a couple of physical forwards on Sunday, he looks a good bet to make it number nine.

Offers

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