Football Bet of the Day: Expect goals at Home Park

 | February 05 | 

3 mins read

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Promotion-chasing Leeds United head to Home Park on Tuesday night to face Plymouth in an all-Championship FA Cup fourth-round replay. 

Considering the attacking talent on show and how the recent games have been playing out at Home Park of late, an entertaining cup clash should be the order of the day in Devon. 

Football Bet of the Day - Tuesday 6 February

  • Over 3.5 total goals @ 5/4 

Season ticket holders at Home Park have certainly been getting their money's worth in recent months, with some thrilling games being played out at the Devonshire ground. 

In all of Plymouth’s last five home games in all competitions, the hosts have scored three goals in each game. 

During those five clashes at Home Park, no less than 25 goals were scored, which bodes well for another entertaining encounter on Tuesday night in the FA Cup. 

Leeds boss Daniel Farke was a frustrated figure after the 1-1 draw between these sides last month at Elland Road to set up this week’s replay. 

The Whites dominated the first half and should have been out of sight, before a resilient Plymouth side saw Adam Randell score in the 73rd minute to earn a replay. 

It’s a fixture Leeds could really do without, as they battle with the likes of Southampton and Ipswich Town in the race for that second automatic promotion place behind frontrunners Leicester City in the Championship. 

Despite a long trip to Plymouth, in Monday morning’s press conference, Farke said he would rather have the replay than be out of the FA Cup and is eager to reach the fifth round, with either Chelsea or Aston Villa lying in wait. 

The German tactician is likely to make changes to his starting lineup with Joel Piroe expected to start up top instead of Patrick Bamford, who should be kept fresh for the weekend’s Championship encounter with Rotherham United. 

Plymouth boss Ian Foster is also likely to make changes to his starting XI but he will look to maintain Argyle’s fearless attacking approach on home soil. 

Morgan Whittaker has been the standout goalscorer for Plymouth this season, with 16 Championship goals already to his name. 

Ryan Hardie has also enjoyed a strong league campaign with 10 goals, so Leeds will have at least a couple of threats to keep an eye on this Tuesday night. 

With the players on show and the free-scoring form for games at Home Park, it’s hard to see Tuesday’s encounter being a low-scoring affair. 

Both teams have scored in all of the last six games at Home Park and both sides should get on the scoresheet in this cup encounter. 

Going over 3.5 total goals offers good value at 5/4 and the trend of goal fests at Home Park should continue in a game that neither side really have anything to lose in. 

Over 3.5 goals at 5/4

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