Football Accumulator Tips: Jamie’s 4/1 Cross-European Weekend Treble

Another 3-3-3 column winner at just above 3/1 came in last week, guaranteeing that Jamie Pacheco will finish his debut season with this column at least 11 points up, so plenty of profits in our pockets ahead of the summer break.  

But he’ll want to take a well-deserved break with even more profits in his pocket, so there’s one final column for the season at 4.47/1 to try and really make it a first season to remember. Let's check out Jamie's Cross-European Football Accumulator Tips Treble for this weekend...

Welcome to the 3-3-3 betting column. Why is it called that? Glad you asked.  It's not a formation to play when you've had a man sent off but rather:

3- The number of different selections making up the acca.

3- The number of different (non-English) European Leagues the selections are taken from every week.

3- The minimum odds (3/1) or 4.0 if you prefer, that the acca will come to it every week.

And it really is as simple as that. The selections can be from any betting markets, as long as they meet the criteria set out above.  And to round things off, every week I'll leave you with a cool (or at least I think so) bit of trivia involving one of the teams featured in the acca. Simples...

Current P and L: +12.284 pts  

I never really got the reasoning behind Mission Impossible. If something is described as 'impossible' from the get-go, is it really worth pursuing? Doesn't the word 'impossible' in the sentence suggest you're more up against it than you'd like to be?  

Well, as we all know, Tom Cruise is a man who marches to the beat of his own drum and that's fair enough…but so am I.  

I privately set myself a goal of showing a profit of 10 points or more for the season across the 3-3-3 column and I've achieved that. We're over 12 points in profit for the season meaning that even if this week's final column for the season doesn't win, the worst-case scenario will be that we'll end with 11.2 points in profit.  

A tenner on the column every week and you'd be up 110 quid for the season. Not many high street banks (none, to be precise) will promise you that sort of return and neither will I but I think this was a good exercise in showing that a tried-and-trusted process, hard research and patience can still return good dividends in this game and we'll stay true to all those values going forward.  

For the record, when we won last week: Estoril ruthlessly beat Amadora 4-0 when any win or draw would have done us just fine, Genoa and Atalanta only produced seven corners when anything below 10 would have been a winner for us and Reims got that all-important goal for us at Lille to ensure it was a BTTS match, meaning a 3-3-3 winner at just above 3/1. So happy days.  

But what would really make it an early summer to remember would be yet another winner in the final week of the season in the final 3-3-3- column for the time being. Let's see what we can do.  

Saturday, May 24 15:15  

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad 

Selection: Over 1.5 Home Goals @ 1/3 

Good luck to Carlo Ancelotti. For me he's one of the good guys of football and if anything, didn't get as much credit as he deserved across two outstanding spells at Real Madrid. I wish him all the best when he starts his next challenge as manager of Brazil and they'll be a better side for it.  

But before he sails off to the world of breathtaking sunsets and caipirinhas, he still has a home against game Real Sociedad where Real should be good for at least two goals.  

Real have scored at least two goals in nine of their last 10 home matches, the anomaly being a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Barcelona. In two of those they scored four and in two of them they scored three, so scoring goals at home has been the least of their worries. Real managed to score at least two in three of their last four at home to Sociedad so I'm relatively confident here.  

Benfica v Sporting Lisbon  

Sunday, May 25 17:15  

Selection: Double Chance (Benfica or Draw) and 'Yes' on Both Teams to Score @ 23/20      

Benfica may have missed out on the Superliga title by the 'barest of margins' but have a chance to exact some revenge just a week after their league heartbreak when they face their arch-rivals in the Cup.  

I'm not necessarily suggesting Sporting are content with what they already have and just see this as a bonus; but it's also easy to make the point the match means that little bit more for Benfica. 

Either way, two well-matched sides as proven by how close they were in the league, should see goals at both ends.  It happened in eight of the last nine between these two in all competitions, including the crucial 1-1 in Benfica a couple of weeks ago which handled the title to Sporting, so games between these two tend to have goals.  

But rather than a straight BTTS, I'll add that Benfica will either win or draw the match after 90 minutes meaning those odds of 23/20 make the 3-3-3 column considerably bigger than usual in terms of the overall odds. How sweet it would be if it won.  

Torino v Roma   

Sunday, May 25 19:45  

Selection: Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11    

I've spoken before about how going for an 'unders' selection, whether it's goals, corners or bookings, is a highly stressful situation to put yourself into.  

It's a bit like watching a horror movie and hoping the protagonists spend the whole film having tea and scones and chatting about the weather rather than me/you embracing the appearance of a deranged serial killer emerge from the bushes and  ruthlessly slaughter the lot before they've finished their first cuppa or taken their last bite of a jam-filled scone.  

But back to Torina v Roma. Just 17% of Torino's home matches this season have resulted in  over 2.5 goals, (3/18) which included a run of nine straight matches between October and February that went 'unders' and  all of their last five home encounters.  

Roma have just as much of an appetite for high-scoring away games- very little- as Torino have for home ones, with just 37% of their away matches having three goals or more.  

That includes all of their last four away trips producing results of 1-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-0. 'Unders' would also have been a winner in four of the last five between these two at a decent price, meaning I really like under 2.5 goals here at an attractive 10/11.  

My guess would be that Roma, chasing fourth place, score to make it 1-0, and protect what they have as Torino's men are already thinking about cocktails on a sunny beach in June; but any low-scoring much will do us just fine.  

James' Fun Fact  

Benfica have scored at least once in 27 of their last 28 games, the odd one out being that fateful 1-0 home defeat to Barcelona in the Champions League first leg in the Playoffs and this despite playing against 10 men for 70 minutes.  

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Jamie Pacheco predominantly covers Cricket and European Football for us at Betfred Insights. You can check out his Football Betting Tips, along with those from the rest of the team, at our Football hub page...