Finland vs Greece Prediction: Comfortable win for the visitors

Finland welcome Greece to Helsinki Olympic Stadium on Sunday (17:00, YouTube) in their final Uefa Nations League fixture. The hosts already know they have been relegated from League 2 following their defeat to the Republic of Ireland on Thursday.

Greece have a shot at topping their group as they sit on 12 points alongside England. They will need to better the Three Lions' result against Ireland for that to happen. Read on for my Finland vs Greece prediction, accompanied by the latest match odds and team news.

Finland vs Greece Odds

Finland are 5/2, or a 28.6% chance, to win this fixture. Greece are valued at 6/5 to take the three points, giving them an implied probability of 45.5%. The draw can be backed at 11/5 (31.3%).

Both teams to score is on offer at 11/10 and over 2.5 goals is marketed at 11/8.

Football Odds

Team News

Fredrik Jensen, Adam Stahl, Tomas Galvez, Leo Vaisanen, Leo Walta and Topi Keskinen have all been left out of Markku Kanerva's Finlad squad after featuring in October's international camp.

Bayer Leverkusen shot-stopper Lukas Hradecky is three caps away from reaching a century for his country, and as his nation's first-choice goalkeeper, he is edging closer to this incredible feat.

Finland's all-time top goalscorer Teemu Pukki, who has 42 goals for his country, has been a substitute for most of his side's Nations League clashes so far, and he will be pushing for a return to the starting lineup on home soil on Sunday.

However, Benjamin Kallman and Joel Pohjanpalo - who scored against Ireland last month are currently preferred to the former Norwich City man, with Kallman getting the nod to start against the second clash with the Boys in Green last time out.

Ex-Leeds United midfielder Glen Kamara and Kaan Kairinenr are both set to feature in the middle of the park again.

For Greece, they will welcome back defender Dimitrios Kourbelis after he served his one-game suspension against England on Thursday. Christos Zafeiris has picked up a suspension of his own for too many yellow cards and he will miss out on Sunday.

Goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos has found life frustrating at club level this season, as opportunities have been limited for him at Newcastle United, but he remains the main man for his country and he is set to play between the sticks once again.

He will be shielded in defence by two fellow Premier League stars in Liverpool's Kostas Tsimikas and West Ham United's Konstantinos Mavropanos.

After scoring twice in the Nations League against England last month and starting against the Three Lions again on Thursday,  Vangelis Pavlidis could continue to lead the line.

Although, Fotis Ioannidis, who scored three goals in Greece's opening two Nations League games will be pushing to start on Sunday after Pavlidis failed to have an impact against Lee Carsley's side.

Ethniki have never lost when Ioannidis has been on the scoresheet (won three, drawn one).

Greece to win to nil @ 21/10

It's been a dismal Nations League campaign and they will be desperate for it to end. Unfortunately for them they have one more game to play, and it is one that means a lot to Greece.

As mentioned above, they have a chance of topping the group and gaining promotion to League A. They simply have to better England's result, which is a tough ask, but not impossible.

On paper they have the easier fixture because Finland have been far too easy to play against over the past few months. The hosts also know that they have already been relegated, so I don't think there will be an abundance of effort out on the pitch from the home players.

With that in mind, I think the smart play here could be backing Greece to win to nil. This was a winning selection when these two sides met in the reverse fixture back in September, as they posted a 3-0 win in Piraeus.

They have two forwards in Ioannidis and Pavlidis who have both been on the scoresheet frequently in the Nations League this season, so they will be rubbing their hands together for this one as they look to extend their own tallies, while trying to seal top spot for their nation.

Over 2.5 goals @ 11/8

There could also be a lot riding on Greece's goal difference against England as there is nothing to separate between the two of them in the head-to-head record. The Three Lions are currently three goals better off, but Greece now have another crack against the worst defence in the group, who have nothing to play for on the final day.

Greece have already fired three goals past Finland and they will be looking to surpass this in Helsinki on Sunday as they look to give themselves the best chance of topping the group.

I've mentioned their two forward options who can have an impact, but there are also the likes of Christos Tzolis, Giorgos Masouras and Anastasios Bakasetas. They have more than enough quality to rack up a number of goals here, and they have the motivation to do so - I'm confident in backing this selection as a result.

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