Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Prediction: Spurs to prevail in Bilbao

 | Tuesday 20th May 2025, 12:49pm

Tuesday 20th May 2025, 12:49pm

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It's been a pretty miserable season for both Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United as they sit 17th and 16th respectively in the Premier League. One of them has the chance to end the season with some dignity, however, as they meet in Bilbao for the Uefa Europa League final on Wednesday (20:00, TNT Sports 1).

With silverware and safe passage back to the Uefa Champions League on the line, this match is huge for both clubs. Read on for my Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United predictions, featuring the latest team news and match odds.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Betting Tips

  • Tottenham to win the tie @ 1/1
  • Both teams to score and under 4.5 goals @ 11/10

Odds correct at the time of publishing

Football Odds

Team News

Spurs boss Ange Postecoglou rested several of his key players in Friday's league defeat at Aston Villa.

Despite an impressive performance at Villa Park, Antonin Kinsky will make way for Guglielmo Vicario in goal, with Rodrigo Bentancur, Dominic Solanke, Brennan Johnson, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven and Pedro Porro all expected to return to the starting XI in Bilbao.

Bentancur is likely to be joined in the middle of the park by Pape Matar Sarr and Yves Bissouma, with Tottenham short of midfield options because of injuries to Lucas Bergvall (ankle), Dejan Kulusevski and James Maddison (both knee). Timo Werner (hamstring) and Radu Dragusin (ACL) are also confined to the treatment room but neither were registered in the European squad update.

Captain Son Heung-min started for the first time since recovering from a foot issue and could keep his place.

Supported by Son, Solanke is set to lead the front line, having registered five goals and four assists in this season's Europa League. The forward has also been a thorn in United's side recently, having scored in each of his past four appearances against them.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Stats

  • Tottenham have won four of the last five meetings with Man United (incl three this season)
  • BTTS has struck in three of the past six head-to-heads
  • Spurs' previous seven matches in the EL have featured under 4.5 goals

United are coping without Lisandro Martinez (knee), who is not going to be available until next season.

Matthijs de Ligt (knock) is a doubt to feature on Wednesday, which would leave boss Ruben Amorim short of defensive options. Diogo Dalot (calf), Leny Yoro (foot) and Joshua Zirkzee (hamstring) have returned to training and has an outside shot of making the trip to Spain.

Bruno Fernandes is joint-top of the scoring charts with seven goals so far, while Rasmus Hojlund is one of several players on six. Only Lyon's Rayan Cherki (12) has been directly involved in more Europa League goals this campaign than Fernandes (11).

Mason Mount and Amad Diallo both made an impact on the second-leg win over Athletic Club and may be considered for starts.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United Odds

Tottenham have won four of their last five Europa League matches, while they have beaten United home and away in the Premier League this season as well as in the Carabao Cup. They are 15/8 (which has an implied probability of 34.8%) to prevail in regulation time.

Man United have drawn two of their previous six outings in Europe and the stalemate is on offer at 12/5, to those who think this final will require extra time.

The Red Devils are 6/4 to win in 90 minutes, having also won four of their past five games in the competition.

Four of United's last five outings in the Europa League have produced four or more goals and over 3.5 goals is available at 5/2.

Fernandes heads up the the anytime goalscorer market at 11/5 due to his form in Europe this term, while Spurs' Solanke is just behind him at 23/10.

Tottenham to win the tie @ 1/1

This match has the potential to validate Spurs boss Postecoglou, who stated earlier in the season that he always wins trophies in his second year at clubs. He's one game away from completing this self-fulfilling prophecy, and you'd have to fancy his side's chances.

The Australian has gotten the better of United three times already this season and he is yet to be defeated by the Red Devils. Amorim's men will be out to flip the script in the game that truly matters, but Tottenham have developed into a bogey side for them in the last two years, and you'd argue that Spurs are more desperate for silverware.

The 2008 League Cup was the last time the north London outfit hoisted a trophy, which has often been the source of amusement for rival supporters. Postecoglou's future at the club remains in doubt even if they win Wednesday's final, but it would be a special way to bow out.

With both sides finishing at the deep end of the Premier League, this game provides a route to the Champions League, which is huge for both in terms of revenue and pulling power when it comes to transfers in the summer.

Given the lack of quality from both this term, it's clear they are both in need of rebuilds and winning the Europa League will make that burden easier. The two clubs have often saved their best stuff for this competition this year, so I'm expecting a competitive game, but seeing as this is a year in which clubs are winning trophies for the first time or ending droughts, I think this might just be Tottenham's night.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United - To Win Tie Tottenham Hotspur

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Both teams to score and under 4.5 goals @ 11/10

With so much riding on this match I think it's fair to back both teams getting on the scoresheet, which has been a winning selection in three of the past six meetings between the two clubs.

Additionally, there have been goals at both ends in 57% (8/14) of Spurs' fixtures in Europe this season, including three of their previous six.

BTTS has been a successful bet in 79% (11/14) of United's Europa League contests in 2024/25, including five of their last six - so I think this bodes well for Wednesday's showpiece.

The second half of the bet is under 4.5 goals. United have experienced a couple of high-scoring affairs in their European encounters but I think as they are facing a domestic rival, this final may end up being more of a calculated chess match, especially with what's at stake.

There have been fewer than five goals in 64% (9/14) of the Red Devils' EL games this term, while under 4.5 goals has landed in 86% (12/14) of Tottenham's fixtures in this competition.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United - Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under +4.5 Yes and Under 4.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Offers

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Wednesday (21/05): We will be Top Price on Tottenham to beat Man Utd with selected bookmakers using Oddschecker for the comparison. (Available from 09:00 Wednesday)

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