Lille vs Freiburg Prediction: Don’t expect fireworks in France

SC Freiburg, who are all but assured of a top-eight spot in the league phase of this season’s Uefa Europa League, head to France this week for their final fixture against Lille OSC. Their hosts at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, though, could still drop out of the top 24, so Les Dogues will be looking for a positive result on Thursday (20:00 GMT, TNT Sports 8) to clinch a knockout phase play-off place.

Read below for my Lille vs Freiburg predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Hamza Igamane, Ousmane Toure (both knee), Andre Gomes (muscle/ineligible) and Nabil Bentaleb (shoulder) all miss out for Bruno Genesio’s Lille.

Football Odds

As for Julian Schuster’s Freiburg, Philipp Lienhart (abdominal) and Lukas Kubler (hamstring) are sidelined.

Lille vs Freiburg Odds

Lille, who have won two of their three league-phase home games, are 19/20 to claim all three points on Thursday, implying a 51.3% probability of success, while Freiburg are 11/4, or a 26.7% chance, to make it two wins from four on their European travels (W1, D2).

The draw is priced at 5/2, both teams to score at 4/5, and over 2.5 total goals at 10/11.

Total Goals - Under 2.5 @ 10/11

Five of Freiburg’s seven European games this season, including their last three, have finished with two or fewer goals, while under 2.5 strikes has been a winning selection in two of their three away contests.

As for Lille, three of their seven league-phase matches have gone under 2.5 goals.

Today's Football Fixtures

With qualification on the line, the hosts are unlikely to be gung-ho on Thursday, so their caution may contribute to another low-scoring game.

Bet Builder - Ngal’ayel Mukau (LIL) 2+ Shots & Romain Perraud (LIL) 1+ Shots @ 6/1

Lille midfielder Ngal’ayel Mukau has taken nine shots across his six Europa League appearances (five starts) this season, averaging 1.9 per 90 minutes.

The 21-year-old has recorded 2+ efforts in half (three) of his matches, against SK Brann (two), Dinamo Zagreb (three) and last time out in the competition against Celta Vigo (four).

His teammate, left-back Romain Perraud, has shot six times across five appearances (three starts), also averaging 1.9 per 90.

The 28-year-old shot four times against Young Boys and twice last week against Celta Vigo.

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