Celta Vigo vs Lille Prediction: Les Dogues’ dismal calendar-year form to continue in Spain

Starting the evening 19th and 20th, respectively, in the league phase table of the Uefa Europa League, Celta Vigo and Lille OSC lock horns at the Estadio de Balaidos on Thursday evening (20:00 GMT, TNT Sports 5), looking to strengthen their qualification hopes.
Below are my Celta Vigo vs Lille predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.
Celta Vigo vs Lille Betting Tips
- Match Result - Celta Vigo @ 11/8
- Bet Builder - Bryan Zaragoza (CVI) 2+ Shots & Marcos Alonso (CVI) 1+ Shots @ 6/5
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Celta Vigo's Mihailo Ristic (muscle) appears to be the only injury absentee for head coach Claudio Giraldez, who will also have to make do without midfielder Ilaix Moriba, as the Guinea international is serving a one-match ban.
Hamza Igamane, Ousmane Toure (both knee), Andre Gomes, Calvin Verdonk (both muscle), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (thigh) and Benjamin Andre (shoulder) could all miss out for Lille, whose boss Bruno Genesio must replace Ayyoub Bouaddi in his starting XI; the midfielder is suspended following his red card against Young Boys last month.
Celta Vigo vs Lille Predicted Lineups
- Celta Vigo: Radu; Fernandez, Starfelt, Alonso; Mingueza, Roman, Sotelo, Carreira; Aspas, Iglesias, Zaragoza
- Lille: Ozer; Meunier, Ngoy, Mandi, Perraud; Bentaleb, Mukau; Mbappe, Haraldsson, Correia; Giroud
Celta Vigo are 11/8 favourites, implying a 42.1% probability of success, with Lille 2/1, or a 33.3% chance, and the draw priced at 23/10.
Olivier Giroud To Score At Anytime has been boosted to 2/1 (was 7/4).
Celta Vigo vs Lille Stats
- CVI have won all three games in 2026
- LIL have lost all three matches this calendar year
- Zaragoza (CVI) is averaging 4.1 shots p/90 (UEL)
- Alonso (CVI) is averaging one shot p/90 (UEL)
Match Result - Celta Vigo @ 11/8
Celta and Lille are level on nine points after six rounds of fixtures, having each won three and lost three.
However, the two teams are in contrasting form, with Celta winning all three games in 2026, beating Valencia (4-1), Sevilla (0-1) and Rayo Vallecano (3-0) in La Liga.
Lille, on the other hand, have suffered three consecutive defeats this calendar year, losing 2-0 at home to Stade Rennais and 3-0 away to Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1, either side of a 2-1 home reverse to Olympique Lyonnais in the Coupe de France.
Les Dogues secured an impressive 1-0 victory over AS Roma at the Stadio Olimpico in their first Europa League away game this season, but they’ve lost 1-0 in each of their last two trips across Europe, to Red Star Belgrade in Serbia and Young Boys in Switzerland.
Celta, meanwhile, have fought back after losing all three home matches in November, winning all three in Vigo since the start of last month, and in the Europa League, they picked up six points from nine on offer at the Balaidos.
Considering their respective recent records, I simply have to back the home side here at 11/8.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Bet Builder - Bryan Zaragoza (CVI) 2+ Shots & Marcos Alonso (CVI) 1+ Shots @ 6/5
Celta winger Bryan Zaragoza has taken 12 shots across six Europa League appearances (three starts) this season, averaging 4.1 per 90.
The 24-year-old has recorded 2+ shots in two of his three competition starts, while he scored from the penalty spot against Rayo Vallecano last Sunday with his second and final effort of the game.
Zaragoza’s teammate, former Chelsea full-back Marcos Alonso, is averaging a shot per 90 in Europe this season, recording three across his last two appearances (two, one).
In La Liga, the 35-year-old has taken 11 shots across 17 matches, averaging 0.7 per 90.
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