Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds: Mbappe & Kane lead the way

 | Monday 10th June 2024, 14:53pm

Monday 10th June 2024, 14:53pm

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Euro 2024 gets underway this Friday as hosts Germany face Scotland at the Allianz Arena, with the host nation looking for a big home win to get their competition off to a good start. 

Before the tournament kicks-off however, let’s take a look at the race to score the most goals this summer as we review the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds over on Betfred…

Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Selected Odds

  • Kylian Mbappe @ 9/2
  • Harry Kane @ 11/2
  • Cristiano Ronaldo @ 11/1
  • Romelu Lukaku @ 14/1

*Please click on the linked odds above to add this selection directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).

The Favourites

Two names dominate this market and anyone who has followed European Football will know exactly who they are. Since Friday afternoon though, when I first looked at the odds to prep for this article, the market has moved and rather than joint-favourites, Kylian Mbappe sits alone at the top with odds of 9/2.

The former Monaco and PSG man will be looking forward to his new life in Madrid following his move to the Champions League winners but before he can start that portion of career, he’ll be attempting to follow up his World Cup Golden Boot win with doing the same at Euro 2024.

Just 18 months or so ago in Qatar, the 25-year-old found the back of the net eight times as France made it all the way to a penalty shoot-out in the final before falling agonisingly short. It should be noted that the Frenchman does take penalties for his country and that is even more of an important asset in this VAR era.

Four years previously, Englishman Harry Kane won the Golden Boot at the World Cup and it is the Bayern Munich striker who is vying with Mbappe for favouritism in this market. Heading into England’s friendly with Iceland last Friday, both players were 11/2 shots here but after a toothless display against the 72nd ranked team in the world, we saw the move for the Frenchman to pull ahead of his main rival.

Kane has enjoyed a wonderful season in Germany, having found the back of the net 44 times in 45 appearances across all competitions. That isn’t too shabby as they say and if England are going to go deep into the tournament, then you’d fully expect their captain to be in among the goals.

These two are rightly the favourites but is their value elsewhere?

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We have to spend at least a paragraph or two pondering whether 11/1 shot and third-favourite Cristiano Ronaldo is still good enough to be considered among the top choices in a betting market such as this.

At the delayed Euro 2020 tournament, it was the Portuguese striker who scored five times and coupled with a solitary assist, was declared the top scorer at the tournament. Since then though, he has relocated to the Saudi Pro League and despite scoring a hefty 50 times in 51 matches, the competition over in the Middle East is not the strongest and undoubtedly the defences he goes up against if his country goes deep into this tournament, will be by far the toughest he’ll have faced in quite a while.

Ronaldo is a penalty taker and he top-scored in Group J of the qualifying competition with ten goals. You can’t rule him out and the odds are fair but it just feels a stretch that even with the undoubted qualities that this all-time great possesses, that he can still light up the scoresheet against top-quality defences.

Looking Deep in the Market

Romelu Lukaku has been an afterthought for many English football fans following his rather strange time at Stamford Bridge but the Belgian did score a mammoth 14 times in qualifying including a hat-trick away at Sweden and four times in a 5-0 home win over Azerbaijan.

It wasn’t a prolific domestic campaign in Rome but he still returned nearly a goal every other start and we’ve all seen that when the 31-year-old is on, he can be extremely dangerous in front of goal. I’d probably pass on him at 14/1 but he’ll have support out there.

Kai Havertz will get the first crack at playing through the middle for Germany, with Niclas Füllkrug expected to be his primary backup. In 2016, 2000, 1996 and 1992, a player from a host nation has topped the scoring charts but I just can’t see the Arsenal man challenging at the top of the charts. 25/1 is the price for him.

Jude Bellingham is only 16/1 following a superb season for Real Madrid but he’s a hard pass. If Harry Kane isn’t England’s top scorer, then I struggle to see them going deep in the tournament.

Rasmus Hojlund has endured a tricky start to his Premier League career at Old Trafford but only Lukaku, Ronaldo, Mbappe and Kane scored more times in qualifying. Can the Dane help lead his side with a hatful of goals and challenge to be the top goalscorer at Euro 2024? 40/1 says he can.

Hojlund wasn’t the only player to nab seven goals throughout qualifying. The other, you ask? Scotland’s Scott McTominay. He might struggle to get in Manchester United’s best XI but he’s been the key performer or Steve Clarke’s men. The odds of him finishing top of the scoring charts however are significantly different to those of his Old Trafford teammate, you can back him at 250/1.

The Verdict

A winner from outside the top four in the betting would be a big shock for me and despite a woeful warm-up slate, Harry Kane at 11/2 feels like a good bet to me. The main concern is how England can break down teams who play with a low block but if they find a way, with the attacking options at Gareth Southgate's disposal, the Three Lions should score plenty in Germany this summer and their captain is the main man.

Free Bet Offer in the Top Goalscorer Market

Betfred are offering all punters who place a qualifying bet on the Top Goalscorer market at Euro 2024 a free £2 Bet in every game the player(s) they've backed score a goal. The key details are below and click on the banner to get the full Terms & Conditions.

  • Place a £10+ single bet (£5 E/W will count) on a player in the Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer market between 09:00 10/06/24 and 20:00 14/06/24.
  • Receive £2 in Free Bets within 24 hours every game in which your selection scores.

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