Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Hosts can edge low-scoring affair

Atletico Madrid's title hopes are all but gone with Barcelona holding a 10-point lead at the top of the La Liga table, so Saturday's (13:00) clash with Deportivo Alaves arguably means more to the hosts, who are trying to stave off relegation.

Read on for my Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid predictions, complete with the latest odds and team news.

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Odds

Atletico Madrid are favourites for this clash, but they are a shade above evens at 23/20. Alaves are 11/4 to secure a surprise win with the draw at 21/10, while over 2.5 goals is available at 6/4.

Team News

Alaves are set to be without card magnet Abdel Abqar through injury, but otherwise, the hosts have no major injury concerns. They should stick with largely the same side which led them to a 1-0 win over Real Sociedad last weekend.

Atletico have a full-strength squad available, leaving Diego Simeone with decisions to make up front, with Alexander Sorloth and Antoine Griezmann impressing last weekend as they bid for a starting role alongside Julian Alvarez.

Double Chance - Alaves or Draw @ 7/10

While Atletico head into this contest on a good run, they did lose 1-0 at 18th-placed Las Palmas in their previous away game. The visitors can point to several away upsets this term which significantly dented their title hopes, as they have also been beaten at Leganes and Getafe this term.

Atletico have won less than half of their 16 away trips this season, while they have failed to win three of their last four on the road.

Alaves have boosted their hopes of survival with victories over Girona and Sociedad over the last month, while they claimed a point at Sevilla. The home side do have a poor record against the top three this season, but they are catching Atletico at a good time.

Alaves have stepped things up defensively heading into this clash, so they are backed to hold firm against an Atletico side who seem to be going through the motions to close the season out. With the visitors already suffering three 1-0 defeats on their travels, 1-0 to Alaves appeals at 8/1.

Under 0.5 first-half goals @ 6/4

This is expected to be a low-scoring clash, with half of Alaves’ home games featuring fewer than two goals. The hosts have scored just 0.75 goals per game at home, while Atletico’s away matches have averaged just 2.1 goals per game.

Goals have been particularly hard to come by in the first half. Six of Atletico’s away trips have been goalless at half-time, while they have failed to score a first-half goal in nine of their 16 games on the road.

Alaves have failed to score in 10 first halves at home, with six of their games 0-0 at the break.

Offers

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