Como vs Inter Milan Prediction: Hosts to put Scudetto chasers under pressure

It all comes down to the final round of fixtures in the Serie A title race, with leaders Napoli just a point ahead of reigning champions Inter Milan. Given the possibility of a play-off to determine the destination of the Scudetto, which would kick in if the two clubs finish level on points, both Gli Azzurri and I Nerazzurri's final games have been scheduled for Friday night (19:45).

Napoli host Cagliari at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, while Inter take a trip to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. You can check out my Napoli-Cagliari preview here, but below, you will find my Como vs Inter Milan predictions, complete with all the latest team news and match odds. The game will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2.

Team News

Assane Diao (foot), who scored eight goals in his first 15 Como appearances following his January move from Real Betis, has missed his side's last four games, and the 19-year-old won't make it back in time for I Lariani's season finale on Friday.

Sergi Roberto (thigh) and Alberto Dossena (knee) also remain sidelined for Cesc Fabregas' side, while defender Edoardo Goldaniga, who started last Sunday's 1-1 draw at Hellas Verona, will serve a suspension following an accumulation of yellow cards.

Football Odds

Meanwhile, Spanish goalkeeper Pepe Reina announced earlier this week that Friday's game will be the final one in his career, so the 42-year-old, who played for Inter's city rivals, AC Milan, could start against I Nerazzurri and be taken off later on in proceedings to receive his goodbye applause.

Inter captain Lautaro Martinez has missed his side's last two matches with a thigh injury, while midfielder Davide Frattesi, who struck the winner against Barcelona earlier this month to take Simone Inzaghi's charges to the Uefa Champions League final, has also sat out their last couple of contests with an abdominal problem.

However, both players are back in training and should be available for Friday's crunch clash in Como. Frattesi will only be utilised from the bench, but Inzaghi has a big decision to make over Martinez, who has struck 12 times in 31 Serie A appearances this season and is a talismanic figure for I Nerazzurri.

Mehdi Taremi has started Inter's last two games but has scored just once in 25 league outings this term, while fellow forward Marko Arnautovic was left red-faced in last Sunday's 2-2 draw with Lazio, failing to convert a golden opportunity in second-half added time. Martinez would be a welcome addition to the starting XI, but Inzaghi will be wary of rushing the Argentine back with a Champions League final to come later this month.

Benjamin Pavard returned from his own injury issue last week, making the bench at San Siro, and the French defender could start on Friday for the first time since April 20.

Como vs Inter Milan Odds

Como, who are guaranteed to finish 10th in their first season back in Serie A since 2002/23, are unbeaten since March 15, drawing either side of a six-game win streak which came to an end last weekend. Friday's hosts are 4/1, or a 20% chance, to return to winning ways against Inter, who are 3/5 to pile the pressure on Napoli, implying a 62.5% probability of success.

The draw, which would be enough for Inter to secure a play-off if Napoli lose to Cagliari, is priced at 10/3, both teams to score at 4/6, and over 2.5 total goals at 4/7.

Betfred are offering three price boosts for this game, with the first, Inter to Win, Inter 3+ Goals, Marcus Thuram to Score & Inter Most Corners, boosted from 13/2 to 15/2.

Double Chance & Both Teams To Score - Draw or Inter Milan & Yes @ 19/20

Only Lazio and Parma (both 65%) have seen both teams score in a higher percentage of their Serie A games this season than Como (63%), whose last two matches have produced at least one goal for either side. I Lariani actually began the calendar year with BTTS - Yes landing in seven straight home outings before back-to-back 1-0 wins against Torino and Genoa, but they made it eight in 10 last time out at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia as they beat Cagliari 3-1.

Inter, meanwhile, have seen both teams score in 49% of their league games, including last weekend's score draw with Lazio.

Inzaghi's men will, of course, be desperate to keep a clean sheet on Friday to give themselves the best chance of at least avoiding defeat and, ideally, winning the match, but they could find it difficult against a side that has scored in their last 13 games, and last Sunday exposed the vulnerabilities in their defence.

Therefore, backing both teams to score here makes a lot of sense, but I do think the visitors can take at least a point as they bid for back-to-back Scudettos.

Bet Builder - Como Over 11.5 Shots & Maxence Caqueret (COM) Total Shots 1+ @ 23/10

Inter conceded just 22 times in the league last season, and gave up just one goal in eight Champions League league phase matches earlier this term.

However, their defensive statistics haven't been as impressive in the 2024/25 Serie A campaign as they have shipped 35 goals in their first 37 games, and haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five European outings, conceding eight times in their last three.

Against Lazio last Sunday, I Nerazzurri conceded twice and allowed Lazio 12 shots at goal, the fourth time in their last five league games that they had allowed their opponents 12+ shots (Torino - 17, AS Roma - 19, Bologna - 12).

Como, meanwhile, rank sixth for shots per game in Serie A, averaging 13.6 p/g. Fabregas' side took aim 12 times in Verona last weekend, racking up 12+ shots for the fourth straight match, and they're currently on a run of five at home with over 11.5 shots.

It's fair to point out that their opponents have not been of the highest standing over the past month or so, which has no doubt played a big role in their long unbeaten streak, but in their last game against a 'big' club, AC Milan, they recorded 15 efforts at goal. Napoli restricted I Lariati to eight shots at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia in February, but Como shot 16 and 15 times, respectively, in home outings against Juventus and Atalanta earlier this calendar year.

Inter have conceded 10+ shots in eight of their nine league away matches in 2025, and 12+ in six, including their most recent two and their first of the calendar year against relegation-threatened Lecce (17), so over 11.5 shots looks achievable for Como on Friday.

I'm also adding in a shot for Como midfielder Maxence Caqueret, who has scored in back-to-back games against Cagliari and Verona.

The 25-year-old, who joined from French side Olympique Lyonnais in January, only shot four times in his first 15 Serie A appearances, but has taken four across his last two to take his per 90 minutes average to 0.7. He's never been a prolific goalscorer in his career, but he's been operating as more of a number 10 under Fabregas, and that licence to roam has really paid off in recent weeks.

Caqueret shot three times in Como's last home match, a 3-1 victory over Cagliari on May 10, scoring with his second attempt, and he grabbed another goal last weekend with his only shot of the game.

His last appearance against a Milan club, on March 15, saw him have a shot blocked in the 57th minute.

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