West Brom vs Luton Prediction: Hatters to get the job done

Luton Town know a victory at West Bromwich Albion on Saturday (12:30, Sky Sports Football) will secure their Championship status for another season, as the Hatters bid to avoid back-to-back relegations. Matt Bloomfield's side have won three on the spin coming into the final day, which should give them plenty of confidence.

West Brom parted ways with Tony Mowbray last week as they scuppered their play-off chances, and now the Baggies have nothing to play for. Read on for my West Brom vs Luton predictions, aided by the latest team news and match odds.

Football Odds

Team News

Josh Maja, who is West Brom's top scorer in the Championship with 12 goals, is out with a calf injury and he hasn't featured since January 4. Albion have recently welcomed back Jed Wallace and Ousmane Diakite from injuries, with both featuring in the draw at Cardiff City last Saturday.

James Morrison is in temporary charge at The Hawthorns and he may field a similar XI to the one that faced the Bluebirds, although the likes of Wallace, Daryl Dike, Mikey Johnston and Grady Diangana may be considered for starts.

Diangana is set to depart the club in the summer when his contract expires, as is John Swift, who was left out of the squad entirely last week.

Luton make the trip to the West Midlands without Tom Lockyer (heart) and Alfie Doughty due to injury. Strikers Elijah Adebayo and Jacob Brown are also ruled out of this contest.

The Hatters' medical bay has been clearing out in recent weeks, with the likes of Tahith Chong, Teden Mengi and Shandon Baptiste returning to action.

Baptiste was Luton's match-winner at home to Coventry City last Saturday to put them in a strong position to ensure safety at The Hawthorns. Liam Walsh was sent off in the match but he has seen his suspension rescinded after appeal, and so he will be available to feature at the weekend.

West Brom vs Luton Odds

West Brom have won just one of their previous nine matches in the league and they are 11/5 to come out on top on Saturday.

The Baggies have drawn 42% (19/45) of their league games this term and the stalemate is available at 23/10.

Luton are 11/8 (which has an implied probability of 42.1%) to collect the three points and they have won three games in a row ahead of their clash with Albion.

Seven of the Hatters' past seven outings in the second tier have produced fewer than three goals and under 2.5 goals is on offer at 8/11.

Luton to win @ 11/8

This season has been a strange one for Luton. Following their relegation from the Premier League, most believed they had a very strong Championship squad and that they would be in around the top-six picture this term.

It was notable quite early on that this wasn't going to be the case as promotion hero Rob Edwards couldn't arrest the slide that started in the top flight. He was replaced by Bloomfield who had a turbulent start, like he did at Wycombe Wanderers, but his team look to have hit form at the right time.

A couple of months ago it seemed like Luton going down was inevitable, and here we are coming into the final day confident that they can stay up.

Yes, it helps that they are playing against a poor West Brom team that have nothing to play for, but they have gained a lot of momentum in the last few weeks, with some big results against play-off-chasing Bristol City and Coventry, as well as fellow survival scrappers Derby County.

I can't see anything other than a Hatters victory on Saturday as West Brom already look like a bunch of players planning their summer holidays.

Under 2.5 goals @ 8/11

Bar Luton's 3-1 win over Bristol City at Kenilworth Road, most of their matches in the last month-and-a-half have produced fewer than three goals - seven from eight to be exact.

Low-scoring affairs have been a running theme for the Hatters in 2024/25 and they rank 10th in the Championship standings for this statistic. The visitors have seen under 2.5 goals strike in 58% (26/45) of their fixtures in the second tier.

Albion are higher up the table in fifth, with 65% (29/45) of their games featuring fewer than three goals. This market has landed in 68% (15/22) of their contests at The Hawthorns, too, including five of their last seven.

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