Millwall vs Plymouth Prediction: Can Argyle emerge with a point?

Millwall are in a slightly sticky patch right now, having won just one of their last six games. Next up for Neil Harris is a winnable home game against Plymouth, with Wayne Rooney’s side coming off the back of a 5-0 defeat to Cardiff at the weekend. They sit just one point above their hosts making this a key clash in the second tier’s relegation battle this season.
This one kicks off at 19:45 and below you can find my Millwall vs Plymouth prediction as two teams under pressure collide at the Den.
Team News
Josh Coburn and Billy Mitchell remain out for Millwall, while Tom Bradshaw has missed the last seven league matches with a muscle injury and is facing more time in the physio room. He’s a key cog for Millwall and his absence is hampering them, with 19-year-old forward Mihailo Ivanovic in with a shout of his first Championship start having scored off the bench against Derby.
Ryan Wintle may be brought into the team to provide more experience, while there’s a growing excitement around anothe teenager in the form of Daniel Kelly. He could play along with Romain Esse as Harris attempts to get the balance right in this team.
Plymouth boss Rooney is in a bit of a difficult position. After a 5-0 hammering by Cardiff extended his team’s shocking record on the road, he could rip up the blueprint and try something completely different. Ibrahim Cissoko is suspended for this one after a red card in Wales and Brendan Galloway is injured so Rooney may turn to the likes of Callum Wright, Ryan Hardie and Adam Forshaw to freshen things up.
He’s also now got the option of Andre Gray to throw on up front. He sat on the bench at Cardiff and it remains to be seen where his level of fitness is at, but he could certainly be a useful weapon for Rooney to call upon on Wednesday night. Daniel Grimshaw looks set to retain his place in goal, although his back-up Marko Marosi does possess Championship experience if the manager wants more from his goalkeeper.
Millwall are priced at 4/6 to win this game, with Plymouth available at 4/1. A draw can be backed at 3/1, over 2.5 goals is 4/5 and BTTS is the same price. Duncan Watmore and Macaulay Langstaff are the favourites to score first at 5/1.
Draw or Plymouth win @ 6/5
I understand your raised eyebrows dear reader. This feels slightly stupid on paper, I admit. Plymouth have just been beaten 5-0 away from home, and have picked up just one point from five games on their travels so far this term. They don’t seem to be able to get anything in these away tests and it feels like a slog for Rooney on the road at the moment.
But, at home they have been superb, winning three and drawing one of their five matches at Home Park. Plus, Millwall clearly are one of the weaker teams in the division this term, with Harris struggling to get a tune out of them at the minute. The Lions can be competitive but seem to lack the quality needed to push into mid-table, and I am concerned about them this term.
Millwall have scored just once in their last three, and I think this will be an incredibly even game. I don’t think Plymouth are an awful Championship side, and in key away games at QPR and Cardiff they have received three red cards in total. If they can keep their full contingent on the pitch, Argyle have enough about them to get something from this crucial encounter.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Over 47.5 booking points @ 5/6
Millwall have had one red card this season, and Plymouth have, as I just mentioned, seen red on three occasions. It means that Argyle sit somewhere near the top of the discipline charts, with Rooney’s men having had 21 yellows as well this term. Millwall have had 22 yellows to their name by comparison in 10 matches, so you can see where I am going with this one.
Two sides scrapping for every second ball is going to lead to a feisty encounter. There’s valuable points on the line and neither team can afford to lose. With tough-tackling midfielders on show, I think the referee will be busy, and to be honest, a red card in this one wouldn’t surprise me either. We’ve stuck with over 47.5 booking points, with 25 points for a red and 10 for a yellow.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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