Hull vs Luton Prediction: Tigers can edge relegation six-pointer

There’s a massive game coming our way in the Championship on Saturday lunchtime (12:30, Sky Sports Main Event), as Hull City host Luton Town. The Tigers can pull themselves clear of danger with three points here, as they currently sit three points above the relegation zone, and six points above Luton. 

With eight games to go, the Hatters are running out of time to save their Championship skin and need to get points on the board sharpish. Below you can find my Hull vs Luton predictions featuring team news and betting tips. 

Team News

Ruben Selles is likely to leave his back four unchanged, with Sean McLoughlin, Charlie Hughes, Alfie Jones and Lewie Coyle all set to start in front of Ivor Pandur. Steven Alzate, Regan Slater and Matt Crooks could line up as the midfield trio but Kasey Palmer is also trying to force his way back into the XI. 

Having scored off the bench, Abu Kamara will want to earn his place in the front three, with Kyle Joseph the likely candidate to drop out. Joe Gelhardt and Mason Burstow will hope to hold onto their shirts, with Joao Pedro still suspended. Louie Barry, Liam Millar, Mohamed Belloumi and Cody Drameh are amongst the absentees for Selles.

Football Odds

Luton manager Matt Bloomfield has gone back to basics in the last few weeks and he has picked up four points from their last two games. That means the 3-5-2 that served them well in the Premier League will continue, with the experience of Carlton Morris and Elijah Adebayo up top. 

Thelo Aasgaard has been in good form of late in midfield, while Jordan Clark is doing well with Marvelous Nakamba out injured. Wing-backs Alfie Doughty and Isaiah Jones will have to try and push forward, while Mark McGuinness will lead the back three. Shandon Baptiste and Tahith Chong will hope to be back in contention as they are on their way back from their respective injuries. 

Hull vs Luton Odds

Hull are priced at 6/5 to win this game, which gives them an implied win probability of 45%. Hull have the worst home record in the Championship this term, so Luton will fancy their chances of winning at 12/5. A draw can be backed at 23/10 while over 2.5 goals is 6/5 having come in during 53% of Hull’s games so far. 

Joseph is the favourite to score first at 13/2, while BTTS can be backed at 10/11 at the KCOM Stadium. 

Hull to win @ 6/5

A lot has been made of Hull City’s stinky home record this season, and rightly so. They have picked up just 19 points at the KCOM, the lowest total in the division and that has been the reason why they have lingered near the bottom three all year. However, since Selles came into the club things have started to slowly turn around. 

He’s a talented manager who I really like and his impact with Hull has been obvious. In recent weeks they have done enough to put a gap between themselves and the bottom three and I’m fairly certain that a win here will secure their survival. They’ve only lost one of their last seven matches but they’ve also secured back-to-back wins at home in their last two KCOM appearances. 

A 2-0 success over Plymouth Argyle and a 2-1 win over Oxford United leads me to believe they can beat another relegation rival on home soil. Luton have a horrendous away record, having only picked up eight points away from Kenilworth Road this season - a total that puts them joint-bottom of that particular table along with Argyle. Both could be destined for League 1 next season.

HT/FT - Draw/Hull City @ 4/1

I think this is going to be a tense and tight affair and although I think it will contain fewer than 2.5 goals, the 4/6 on offer for that doesn’t appeal to me. Instead we will use that same theory to push for value. In four of Hull’s last five matches, they have gone in level at half-time at 0-0, so there is certainly value in backing that half-time score at 6/4. 

Luton have also gone in at 0-0 in their last two matches, but to boost our odds, let’s back the draw at half-time and Hull win at full-time, at a tasty price of 4/1. I can’t help but feel this massive game could decide the fate of Luton with games running out for the Hatters. 

Offers

Place an In-Play single bet of £10 or more at odds of 1/2+ on any FA Cup or Championship game on Friday or Saturday and get £5 in Free Bets to use In-Play on Sunday’s FA Cup or Championship games.

Acca Flex: Place a pre-match 5+ leg Football accumulator and get a CASH bonus up to 100% if all of your selections win or your money back as CASH if one leg lets you down

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips offerings at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.