PSG vs Chelsea Prediction: Let’s vote for Pedro – again!

 | Wednesday 11th March 2026, 7:00am

Wednesday 11th March 2026, 7:00am

Champions League holders Paris Saint-Germain welcome Chelsea to the Parc des Princes for the first leg of their last-16 clash on Wednesday night (20:00 GMT, live on TNT Sports 2).

This meeting marks the first between the pair since the Fifa Club World Cup final last summer. Read on for my PSG vs Chelsea predictions, as well as the latest team news and match odds.

PSG vs Chelsea Betting Tips

  • Both teams to score - yes @ 4/7
  • Joao Pedro to score anytime @ 2/1

*odds correct at time of publication

Team News

Fabian Ruiz and Quentin Ndjantou are both sidelined with injuries, while Joao Neves will face a late fitness test ahead of Wednesday's contest.

Marquinhos was an unused substitute last time out, so the Brazilian could be set for a recall and Ousmane Dembele featured as a second-half substitute last time out after missing the previous three matches with a calf injury, but the Frenchman may not be ready to start from the off.

As for Chelsea, Estevao, Jamie Gittens and Levi Colwill remain sidelined, but Wesley Fofana should be fit enough to return.

Joao Pedro is expected to start up top once again after scoring 11 goals in 12 games across all competitions.

PSG vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups

  • PSG: Safonov; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Fernandez; Kvaratskhelia, Doure, Barcola
  • Chelsea: Sanchez; James, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Santos; Palmer, Fernandez, Neto; Pedro

PSG vs Chelsea Odds

The hosts are 9/10 to win on Wednesday night, giving them an implied win probability of 52.6%, the draw is 3/1 and Chelsea are 13/5.

Both teams to score are 4/7 and over 2.5 goals is available at 8/13.

PSG vs Chelsea Stats

  • PSG and Chelsea most recently met in the Champions League in 2015/16
  • Chelsea have only won two out of eight Champions League matches against PSG

Both teams to score - yes @ 4/7

I'm anticipating an entertaining clash on Wednesday, and backing goals seems the way to go.

Both teams to score has been a winning selection in 17 of Chelsea’s previous 21 matches in all competitions - including in 11 of their past 13 away trips.

PSG's squad is littered with attacking talent and needs no introduction, so I'd be very surprised if they failed to make the net bulge at the Parc des Princes. Eight of the French side's last nine matches have produced goals at both ends.

PSG vs Chelsea - Both Teams To Score
Yes

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Joao Pedro to score anytime @ 2/1

The Brazilian is in excellent form heading into Wednesday's contest, scoring 11 in his last 12 across all competitions, as mentioned in the introduction.

Pedro's stunning run of form includes a brace in Napoli in Chelsea's previous continental away day, and the former Brighton & Hove striker seems to have hit another level since Liam Rosenior stepped into the Chelsea dugout.

For a player in that kind of form, I'm surprised to see the 24-year-old priced up at 2/1 to net anytime here, so I'm going to take that price while I can.

PSG vs Chelsea - Anytime goalscorer
Joao Pedro

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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