Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction: Goals won’t be in short supply

Newcastle United host Manchester City at St. James' Park on Tuesday (20:00 GMT, ITV1) for the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final. The hosts are the defending champions and they will be determined to defend their crown.
Both teams head into this game off the back of high-scoring victories in the FA Cup. My Newcastle vs Manchester City predictions can be found below. alongside the latest match odds and team news.
Newcastle vs Manchester City Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Will Osula, Fabian Schar (both ankle), Emil Krafth (knee), Dan Burn (rib/lung), Tino Livramento (hamstring), Anthony Elanga and Jamaal Lascelles (both unspecified) are all out injured for Newcastle.
Harvey Barnes has scored four goals across his last two matches for the Magpies and he is likely to start on Tuesday, having also scored against Man City already this season.
Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton and Anthony Gordon are all expected to be restored to the XI.
City remain without the services of Mato Kovacic (ankle), John Stone (thigh), Oscar Bobb (hamstring), Savinho (knock), Josko Gvardiol (shin) and Ruben Dias (muscle) due to various injury issues.
Max Alleyne, who returned from a loan spell at Watford earlier this month, and Abdukodir Khusanov have been the centre-back pairing for the past two games and this should continue on Tuesday night.
Phil Foden could be thrown back into the side after being rested in the weekend's 10-1 win over Exeter City.
Newcastle vs Manchester City Predicted Lineups
- Newcastle: Ramsdale; Miley, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes; Gordon, Woltemade, Barnes; Wissa
- Manchester City: Trafford; Nunes, Khusanov, Alleyne, O'Reilly; Gonzalez; Cherki, Foden, Reijnders, Doku; Haaland
Newcastle vs Manchester City Odds
Newcastle have won four of their last six home games in all competitions (excluding extra time) and they are 11/5 to come out on top in this first leg.
Man City have drawn three of their past four competitive matches and the stalemate is marketed at 11/4 (implied probability of 26.7%).
The Citizens are 23/20 to come away with the advantage.
There have been goals at both ends in five of Newcastle's previous seven fixtures and BTTS - Yes is marketed at 1/2.
With four goals in his last two games, Barnes is 23/10 to score anytime on Tuesday.
Newcastle vs Manchester City Stats
- Over 3.5 goals has landed in four of Newcastle's last six matches
- The second half has seen the most goals in each of Newcastle's previous three games
Total Goals - Over 3.5 @ 11/8
With Newcastle's recent form, and City's 10-1 hammering of Exeter at the weekend, this is set up to be a high-scoring contest. The hosts will look to take advantage of being at home for the first leg and especially as they are unbeaten at St. James' Park in each of their previous 13 games in all competitions.
Both teams are filled with quality in attack and I do predict that goals will flow on Tyneside. Four of the Magpies' previous six competitive outings have featured over 3.5 goals, three of which have come on home turf.
This includes their two most recent fixtures against Leeds United in the Premier League and AFC Bournemouth in the FA Cup.
For City, they scored 10 goals in their home routing of Exeter last time out, and they will certainly have their part to play in helping this game reach the four-goal threhold.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Highest Scoring Half - 2nd Half @ 1/1
Newcastle's recent form has shown that most of the goal-scoring action has come in the second half. All four of the goals in regulation time against Bournemouth at the weekend came in the second 45. This was also the case in their other recent fixtures against Leeds and Crystal Palace.
For Man City, this was also a successful bet from their 10-goal display at the weekend, with six of their goals coming in the second half against Exeter. This was also a winning selection in their latest league triumph at Nottingham Forest, as well as their league meeting with Newcastle inside this stadium on November 22.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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