Canada vs Chile Prediction: La Roja can trouble Les Rouges

 | Saturday 29th June 2024, 8:00am

Saturday 29th June 2024, 8:00am

A huge clash takes place between Canada and Chile at the Inter&Co Stadium in Orlando, Florida on Sunday (01:00, Premier Sports 2), with only one nation able to finish as runners-up to 2024 Copa America Group A winners Argentina and progress to the last 16 of the competition.

Read on for my Canada vs Chile prediction and all the latest team news and match odds ahead of the first-ever meeting between these sides.

Canada vs Chile Betting Tips

  • Both teams to score @ 1/1
  • Bet Builder - Chile over 13.5 shots, Alexis Sanchez 2+ shots, Stephan Eustaqio 3+ tackles, over 3.5 corners in second half @ 4/1

Copa America Odds

Team News

Canada have no injury or disciplinary absentees heading into Sunday, though Derek Cornelius, Ismael Kone and Richie Laryea are all walking the tightrope on one yellow card so far - a second for any of them this weekend would rule them out of the quarter-finals, should Canada reach the knockouts.

Cornelius, Kone and Liam Millar are most at risk of being benched for their country's third group match after the trio were withdrawn at half-time of Canada's 1-0 victory Peru last time out, with Kamal Miller, Jonathan Osorio and Jacob Shaffelburg all thrown on by head coach Jesse Marsch to good effect as Jonathan David scored the only goal of the game in the 74th minute.

Chile were involved in a goalless draw with Peru in their opening match of the tournament and made two changes for their 1-0 defeat to Argentina, replacing Marcelino Nunez and Diego Alfonso Valdes Contreras with Dario Osorio and Rodrigo Echeverria.

Ben Brereton Diaz has made both of his Copa America appearances from the bench but is among those vying for a start on Sunday.

Canada vs Chile Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Canada vs Chile page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

Canada are 12/5 to pick up all three points in Orlando, giving them an implied win probability of 29.4%, while Chile are priced at 1/1 and are a 50% chance to secure the victory they need to give themselves a chance of reaching the quarter-finals.

The draw can be backed at 11/5, both teams to score at 1/1 and over 2.5 goals at 5/4.

Eduardo Vargas (11/2) is favourite to open the scoring ahead of teammate Alexis Sanchez (12/5) and Canada striker David (11/4).

Both teams to score @ 1/1

Perhaps a slightly surprising pick given Canada have scored just once at Copa America, while Chile are yet to get off the mark.

However, Chile have to win, which means they must score, and I'm not convinced Canada have all the defensive answers despite conceding just twice to Argentina - both goals arriving in the second half - and keeping both Peru and France out this month.

They shipped four goals to the Netherlands at the start of June and Marsch's pressing principles mean that Canada are unlikely to completely shut up shop and grind out a point on Sunday.

Chile's quality has diminished in recent years with the likes of Gary Medel and Arturo Vidal falling out of the picture, and Sanchez is in the final furlongs of his career.

However, there is still enough attacking talent in their ranks to suggest that they can cause Canada trouble in a do-or-die game for them, while Les Rouges can call on the likes of David, Cyle Larin and Alphonso Davies to trouble the Chilean backline.

Both teams to score in Canada vs Chile @ 1-1

Bet Builder - Chile over 13.5 shots, Alexis Sanchez 2+ shots, Stephan Eustaqio 3+ tackles, over 3.5 corners in second half @ 4/1

A point will do for Canada on Sunday, while Chile need to win and at least match Peru's scoreline against Argentina to clinch second spot in Group A.

Therefore, I expect them to be on the front foot at the Inter&Co Stadium, firing off shots whenever possible. They were restricted to just three shots by reigning Copa America and World Cup champions Argentina last time out, but that's no disgrace.

More relevant is the 11 shots they recorded against Peru, seven of them in the second half as they pushed for a winner. 14 shots may be ambitious if Chile get an early lead, but I'm banking on Canada keeping them out for at least the first 45 minutes, which should then see Chile really pile on the pressure in the second half.

Sanchez is likely to be leading the way for Chile, and he registered three shots against Peru in his country's opening game. Two shots in a must-win game looks achievable for their all-time record scorer.

One player looking to deny him any opportunities will be Canada's Stephan Eustaqio, who has already established himself as a key player in Marsch's early reign. The Porto midfielder made five tackles against Argentina and followed that effort up with four against Peru, so a minimum of three against Chile looks like a good bet.

The final leg of this bet builder requires there to be at least four corners in the second half on Sunday. There were zero corners in the second half of Canada's victory over Peru last time out but eight in their prior loss to Argentina, while Chile's games against Peru (four) and La Albiceleste (nine) have all seen this selection land.

There isn't a result that will suit both teams as Chile must win and Canada have to avoid defeat, so there will definitely be one team applying pressure in the second half looking to score, which should increase the likelihood of corners being awarded.

Canada vs Chile bet builder @ 4-1

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