Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction: Semi-final to be filled with goals

VfB Stuttgart host SC Freiburg at MHPArena on Thursday (19:45 BST) in the semi-finals of the DFB-Pokal. The hosts are the defending champions and they are looking to emulate RB Leipzig, who won successive titles in 2022 and 2023.
Freiburg are bidding to reach the final for the second time in their history, having lost to Leipzig in their maiden appearance in 2022. Below you will find my Stuttgart vs Freiburg predictions, including the latest team news and match odds.
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Stuttgart defender Finn Jeltsch continues his recovery from a muscle issue. Justin Diehl and Lazar Jovanovic are also sidelined with muscle and back injuries respectively.
Jamie Leweling, Chris Fuhrich and Bilal El Khannouss should feature in the attacking roles in support of front man Deniz Undav.
Max Rosenfelder is out for Freiburg with a hamstring problem. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Patrick Osterhage are also unavailable as they continue to build up their fitness.
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Predicted Lineups
- Stuttgart: Nubel; Vagnoman, Hendriks, Chabot, Mittelstadt; Karazor, Stiller; Leweling, El Khannouss, Fuhrich; Undav
- Freiburg: Muller; Treu, Ginter, Ogbus, Makengo; Eggestein, Manzambi; Beste, Suzuki, Scherhant; Matanovic
Stuttgart have won their last three home games against Freiburg and they are the 4/7 favourites to triumph in regulation time.
Freiburg are a 4/1 bet to triumph inside 90 minutes and they have won each of their past four competitive matches. The draw can be backed at 3/1.
Three of the last five H2Hs have seen both teams score, with BTTS - Yes priced at 8/11 on this occasion.
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Stats
- Over 3.5 Goals has landed in 3 of Stuttgart's last 4 matches, including their 2 most recent outings
- There have been 4-plus goals scored in 3 of Freiburg's previous 7 games
- Ermedin Demirovic has scored in both meetings with Freiburg this season
Total Goals - Over 3.5 @ 13/8
With a place in the final at stake, both these teams will be determined to secure their place in next month's showpiece in Berlin. Freiburg are fighting on two fronts as they are also in the semi-finals of the Uefa Europa League, a competition Stuttgart were eliminated from.
Die Roten will want to defend their DFB-Pokal crown, and with this being the only silverware on offer to them this campaign, they are expected to come out all guns blazing. Their inconsistent form does raise concerns, but I am confident that there will be plenty of goals on offer in this clash.
Over 3.5 Goals has struck in three of the hosts' past four fixtures in all competitions, while this has also been a successful bet in three of Freiburg's last seven competitive games.
There were also four goals scored in the first league meeting this season, which Freiburg won 3-1 on home soil.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Anytime Goalscorer - Ermedin Demirovic @ 23/20
Undav may be the favourite to score in this contest, given he has 23 goals in all competitions this term, but it is fellow Stuttgart attacker Ermedin Demirovic I think offers good value to find the net on Thursday.
The Bosnian has scored in both fixtures against Freiburg in the Bundesliga this campaign, and he also has two goals in as many appearances in this competition. He's 23/20 (implied probability of 46.5%) to haunt Breisgau-Brasilianer for the third time in 2025/26.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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