Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction: No Christmas cheer for BMG

The Bundesliga's final Friday-night fixture of 2025 comes from Signal Iduna Park (19:30 GMT, BBC iPlayer), where Borussia Dortmund (third) host Borussia Monchengladbach (11th).
Below are my Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach predictions, accompanied by all the latest team news and match odds.
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Betting Tips
- Bet Builder - Nico Schlotterbeck (DOR) 1+ Shots & 2+ Tackles @ 8/5
- Match Result & Both Teams to Score - Borussia Dortmund & Yes @ 7/4
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Jobe Bellingham is suspended for Dortmund following his red card in last Sunday's 1-1 draw at SC Freiburg, while Aaron Anselmino, Waldemar Anton (both thigh) and Marcel Sabitzer (muscle) could all miss out due to injury.
Ramy Bensebaini, who opened the scoring in Freiburg last weekend, is unavailable after jetting off to Morocco on 2025 Africa Cup of Nations duty with Algeria.
Gladbach's injury list includes Robin Hack, Tim Kleindienst (both knee), Franck Honorat (calf), Marvin Friedrich (ankle), Nathan Ngoumou (Achilles) and Fabio Chiarodia (thigh).
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Predicted Lineups
- Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Sule, Can, Schlotterbeck; Ryerson, Gross, Nmecha, Svensson; Adeyemi, Chukwuemeka; Guirassy
- Borussia Monchengladbach: Nicolas; Scally, Elvedi, Diks; Castrop, Reitz, Engelhardt, Netz; Machino, Reyna; Tabakovic
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Odds
Dortmund have utterly dominated this head-to-head at home, winning the last 12 meetings, the first of which took place in November 2014. BVB are 1/2 to extend that winning run at Signal Iduna Park to 13 games, implying a 66.7% probability of success, with Gladbach 5/1, or a 16.7% chance, to claim a first victory there since March 2014, with a first draw in Dortmund since January 2005 priced at 7/2.
Betfred's Price Boosts for this match include Serhou Guirassy to Score 2+ Goals at 4/1 (was 18/5).
Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Stats
- Schlotterbeck (DOR) is averaging 0.9 shots p/g in 25/26 Bundesliga
- Schlotterbeck is averaging 2.3 tackles p/g in the same competition
- DOR have won the last 12 H2Hs at Signal Iduna Park
- BMG have scored in their last five away matches
Bet Builder - Nico Schlotterbeck (DOR) 1+ Shots & 2+ Tackles @ 8/5
Welcome to the Nico Schlotterbeck show.
I'm backing the Dortmund defender to record at least one shot and register at least two tackles, for reasons I will outline below.
Starting with the first half of the Bet Builder, the 26-year-old is averaging 0.9 shots per game in this season's Bundesliga, taking aim at least once in six of his 10 appearances, including four of his five at home.
Across the four home matches in which he has tried his luck at least once, he has racked up six efforts, scoring once.
Schlotterbeck has also been doing his duties the other way, too, averaging 2.3 tackles per game in the 2025/26 Bundesliga.
The German international has recorded 2+ tackles in seven of his 10 matches, making four in Dortmund's last home game, a 2-0 victory over TSG Hoffenheim on December 7.
Match Result & Both Teams to Score - Borussia Dortmund & Yes @ 7/4
Dortmund have only won one of their last four games in all competitions, but they remain unbeaten at home in this season's Bundesliga, winning four and drawing two of their six at Signal Iduna Park.
Niko Kovac's side have kept four clean sheets at home in the league, but they've conceded in two of their last four, shipping three in a 3-3 draw with VfB Stuttgart on November 22.
Gladbach, meanwhile, have scored in their last five away games in the league, winning the last three without giving up a single goal, so there should be a degree of confidence in the visiting side's ranks, too.
However, their record at Dortmund is rotten, and it's difficult to make too much of a case for them avoiding defeat on Friday, although they definitely possess enough attacking quality to get on the scoresheet against a side that has been breached at least once in their last five Bundesliga contests.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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