Bolivia vs Peru Prediction: Home side can end winless run

The relentless South American World Cup qualifying continues on Thursday night as Bolivia host Peru (20:00).

 Both teams are without a win so far and qualification for the 2026 World Cup already seems like a distant dream. But we can still find some value in the betting market. Below we preview the match and give our picks. 

Team News

There is some excitement around Bolivia’s 19-year-old midfielder known as Miguelito, who is in the squad and making a name for himself at Santos. Meanwhile Jaume Cuellar is still scoring goals for Barcelona B.

For Peru, Captain Paolo Guerrero is still going at the ripe old age of 39, and worryingly this is a squad that is on the older side. Three members of it have made over 100 international appearances. 

Match Odds

Bolivia are the favourites for this one at 11/10, while Peru are 23/10 to secure all three points. A draw is 21/10, over 2.5 goals is 6/5 and BTTS is 10/11.

Bolivia to beat Peru @ 11/10

As always when Bolivia play at home, altitude plays a significant factor. In La Paz, the highest capital city in the world, they play at a stadium 3,637 metres above sea level, and several opponents have claimed this gives them an unfair advantage. 

On paper it may seem strange to back them given they have lost all four qualifiers they have played so far, but it is worth adding some context to that stat. They’ve faced Brazil and Argentina already, two sides far superior to themselves - and lost 2-1 to Ecuador after conceding in the 96th minute. They also only lost 1-0 to Paraguay, but against a weaker opponent, should be able to assert themselves. 

Bolivia 1-0 Peru @ 11/2

The altitude makes playing attacking football very difficult in Bolivia, so I’m not expecting there to be many goals. I’m also expecting Peru’s woeful run in front of goal to continue. They have failed to score in their four qualification matches to date, while they have only managed to score two goals in the entirety of 2023.

They are unlikely to pose much of a goal threat here and I’m expecting the home side to do just about enough to win the game. With a price of 11/2 on offer for the 1-0 win, I’m plumping for a correct score in this South American qualifier. 

Check out our World Cup 2026 Betting Tips here.