Belgium’s march towards Euro 2024 continues as they host Estonia in Group F on Tuesday. The home side are unbeaten so far under new boss Domenico Tedesco and we’ve looked at the markets to pick out some value.
Belgium tested a front three of Romelu Lukaku, Yannick Carrasco and Johan Bakayoko in their 1-0 win over Azerbaijan and Tedesco could switch things up here. The most likely candidate to come in would be Manchester City’s Jeremy Doku, while Michy Batshuayi also came off the bench in that win.
For Estonia, they are looking for any sort of hope having been hammered 5-0 by Sweden at home over the weekend. They had just 32% possession and no shots on target in that match, which means there could well be changes up front for Thomas Häberli to consider.
Belgium -3 handicap
This should be one-way traffic. Belgium have been in superb form since the World Cup, with only an impressive Austrian outfit able to stop them winning every game this year. They have hammered Sweden 3-0 away from home, beaten Germany 3-2 on the road and thumped Estonia 3-0 in the reverse fixture.
Now back on home soil we can expect Belgium to win by a bigger margin. The -3 handicap at 7/4 offers far better value than the Belgium to win and over 3.5 goals market at 21/20 – and it should be achievable. Estonia have conceded eight goals in their last two internationals and shown zero attacking threat, so they’ll head to Brussels lacking both confidence and form. They could be on the end of another hammering.
Belgium 6-0 Estonia
We don’t want a short priced win here, and given the home side are just 1/16 to take all three points, we’ve pushed the boat out. Belgium were not on top form in their 1-0 success in Azerbaijan, but this game should be a different proposition altogether. They’ve proven that they can tear teams apart in this group, and importantly, goal difference truly matters this time around.
Currently, they are level on points and just one goal clear of Austria in second. Qualifying as group winners will give them a better seeding and therefore a better group in Germany next year, so every goal matters in this tough qualification group.
Tedesco will want to see his side go for the jugular in this match, and Estonia simply don’t have the defensive quality to stop the onslaught. The best value for us is the 6-0 correct scoreline, which comes in at a hot 16/1.