Barcelona vs Granada Prediction: Comfortable win for Xavi and co

 | February 10 | 

6 mins read

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Barcelona have enjoyed their first midweek rest of 2024, so they ought to be fresh enough to handle a home game against relegation-threatened Granada on Sunday. 

Victory would ensure that Barca make up ground on at least one of the top two with Real Madrid and Girona meeting the day before. There was a real danger that Xavi’s team would drop out of the title race altogether when they lost 5-3 to Villarreal a fortnight ago, but to their credit, they have regrouped with back-to-back wins since then to maintain an outside chance. 

Barcelona vs Granada Betting Tips

  • Barcelona to win to nil - EVS 
  • #PickYourPunt - Robert Lewandowski 1+ shots on target & Ilkay Gundogan 1+ shots on target - EVS

It is actually five wins out of six for Barcelona in La Liga, but there remains a sense that this is a team that struggles to dominate games and exert their technical superiority on opponents. At least some of the blame for that situation has to be directed at Xavi who responded with some tactical tweaks at Alaves last time out. 

Central defender Andreas Christensen was moved into the problem holding midfield role and he did reasonably well with 17 year old Pau Cubarsi getting another chance in central defence. Xavi also pushed Pedri up to the left side of a front three and he provided an assist in a 3-1 victory for Barcelona in what could have been a tricky game. 

It wasn’t quite the perfect afternoon for Barcelona though. Alaves did pose problems for them and enjoyed strong periods where they exploited some of those defensive issues with their striker Samu Omorodion grabbing a goal back to reduce the deficit to 2-1 early in the Second Half. 

There was still time for an eventful cameo from recent signing Vitor Roque with the teenager coming on in the 59th minute, scoring in the 63rd minute, before picking up 67th and 72nd minute yellow cards to leave his team needing to see the game out with ten men. 

Barcelona aren’t in Champions League action this coming week so their full focus will be on this game and they won’t be expecting a huge test from Granada. The Andalusian side are enduring a miserable season on their return to the top flight with only two victories and 12 points from their 23 games leaving them on course for an immediate return to the Segunda Division. 

They sacked promotion winning boss Paco Lopez in November and replaced him with the considerably more conservative Alexander Medina. While things have tightened up a bit defensively, it’s still only one win in nine league games since the change and they’d lost three on the bounce before a 1-1 draw at home to Las Palmas last weekend. 

While it was a very busy January with lots of comings and goings at the Estadio Los Carmenes, it ended with what felt like a killer blow to their survival hopes as the club agreed to let star player Bryan Zaragoza join Bayern Munich immediately, rather than in the summer as had initially been planned. 

With just one away point all season, they won’t exactly travel to Barcelona in the best of spirits for what in theory should be a routine home game for the Catalan side. 

Team News: 

Barcelona are missing Vitor Roque after his red card last weekend. However, there is a major boost for Xavi with first choice keeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen available again and potentially ready to replace Iñaki Peña between the sticks, although the Barca boss may opt to hold him back another week. 

Otherwise, little has changed since last weekend with Gavi, Marcos Alonso, Ferran Torres, Alejandro Balde and Joao Felix still sidelined through injury. Unless Ter Stegen comes in, it could be an unchanged eleven from the victory over Alaves, although Iñigo Martinez and Fermin Lopez are also pushing for starting roles. 

Granada are missing a couple of players to suspension with Gonzalo Villar and Kamil Piatkowski unavailable for this game. They are also missing their regular striker Lucas Boye and central defender Jesus Vallejo to injury. 

The visiting starting eleven could feature as many as five January signings. That’s likely to include Manchester United loanee Facundo Pellistri who struggled to make any real impression during his previous loan spells in La Liga with Alaves. 

Match Odds: 

Barcelona are red hot favourites at 1/5 to win this game. You can back the Draw at 5/1 while an unlikely Granada win is priced at 12/1. 

There have been plenty of goals in recent Barca games. You can back Over 3.5 Goals at EVS here while Both Teams to Score is priced at 5/6. If you fancy another high-scoring victory for Xavi’s team, you can get odds of 5/4 for Barcelona to Win and Over 3.5 Goals, a winning bet in three of their last six league matches. 

Barcelona are also available with a -1 Handicap at 4/7 while you can back Barcelona -2 Handicap at 6/4 if you see the hosts being far too strong for their opponents who are just one place off the bottom of La Liga. 

Unsurprisingly, Barca players dominate the goalscorer markets. Robert Lewandowski is priced at 8/13 to score anytime, while he’s 11/4 to open the scoring. Meanwhile youngster Lamine Yamal, who is likely to again start on the right of the attack, is 8/5 to score anytime. 

Barcelona to Win to Nil @ EVS

The team Xavi picked at Alaves last weekend pointed towards a desire to try to tighten up heading into the resumption of their Champions League campaign, with a defender playing in midfield and a midfielder operating on the left side of the attack. 

While they still conceded in that game, Granada don’t really have an obvious danger man who is going to cause problems for this Barca defence. They’ve lost five of their last six away league games to nil and it’s hard to see anything but a very cautious approach from visiting boss Alexander Medina. 

Therefore, this should be a relatively quiet afternoon for the home backline and I’m backing Barcelona to win to nil at EVS. 

Barcelona to win to nil at EVS

#PickYourPunt - Robert Lewandowski 1+ shots on target & Ilkay Gundogan 1+ shots on target @ EVS

Robert Lewandowski and Ilkay Gundogan both scored last weekend and they are the two highest scoring Barca players who are available for this match with nine and five goals respectively in La Liga this term. 

Against the second worst team in the division, it’s hard to see Robert Lewandowski not getting plenty of shooting opportunities. With back-up striker Vitor Roque suspended and no midweek game either side of this match, there’s also a really strong chance that he completes the ninety minutes. 

If Xavi again goes with Christensen in midfield, we can expect Ilkay Gundogan to have even more license to roam forwards and get into the penalty area. Therefore, I’m using the #PickYourPunt tool to back Robert Lewandowski 1+ Shots on Target and Ilkay Gundogan 1+ shots on target at EVS. 

#PickYourPunt at EVS

Check out our other Football Betting Tips here. 

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