Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction: Sky Blues to swoop in after Italiano exit

 | Saturday 28th February 2026, 14:00pm

Saturday 28th February 2026, 14:00pm

Sky stadium wellington scaled

A 5-0 home hammering by Auckland FC, Wellington Phoenix's third 'Kiwi Clasico' defeat of the season, last weekend signalled the end of Giancarlo Italiano's tenure as Nix head coach, with Chris Greenacre subsequently brought in as interim boss for the fourth time in his career. The first game of his fourth spell arrives this Sunday (02:00 GMT, TNT Sports 1), with Sydney FC providing the opposition at Sky Stadium.

Below are my Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Betting Tips

  • Match Result - Sydney @ 19/20
  • To Win to Nil - Sydney @ 11/4

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

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Team News

Sarpreet Singh, Nathan Walker and Tim Payne (all unspecified) remain sidelined for Wellington Phoenix due to injury, while eight-goal forward Ifeanyi Eze is suspended after receiving his fifth yellow card of the campaign last weekend.

Football Odds

Gus Hoesfloot (wrist) is Sydney's only absentee, while Marcel Tisserand and Akol Akon have both been included in Ufuk Talay's extended squad.

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Predicted Lineups

  • Wellington Phoenix: Kelly-Heald; Sheridan, James, Tuiloma, Hughes; Najjarine, Retre, Rufer, Nagasawa, Armiento; Piper
  • Sydney: Devenish-Meares; R. Grant, Tisserand, A. Grant, Garuccio; Arslan, Okon-Engstler; Lolley, Quintal, Quispe; Stamatelopoulos

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Odds

Wellington Phoenix, winless since beating Sydney 2-0 at Allianz Stadium on January 18, are 23/10, or a 30.3% chance, to secure all three points this Sunday, with the Sky Blues 19/20 favourites, implying a 51.3% probability of success, while the draw is priced at 5/2.

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Stats

  • WEL have lost three of their last five games (D2)
  • SYD beat BRI 1-0 last weekend
  • SYD have kept the joint-most clean sheets this season (seven)

Match Result - Sydney @ 19/20

I'll take Sydney to win at just under EVS after a vital victory last weekend that ended their three-game wait for a win.

Granted, it came at home to a struggling Brisbane Roar, and at 1-0, wasn't entirely convincing, while the Sky Blues have lost their last two away matches without scoring.

Today's Football Fixtures

However, the Nix have lost three of their last five games, including their last two at home, with the latest defeat a chastening 5-0 reverse to New Zealand rivals Auckland FC.

Italiano has now left the helm, and while his departure may relieve some of the tension, the arrival of an interim boss isn't exactly inspiring, so Sydney, with a much more talented crop of players, can swoop in on Sunday.

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC - Match Result
Sydney FC

Odds correct at time of publishing.

To Win to Nil - Sydney @ 11/4

The Nix have scored in 16 of their 18 games this season, but they head into Sunday's contest without leading marksman Eze, whose eight goals account for 28.6% of their total (28).

Sydney, meanwhile, kept a clean sheet against Brisbane Roar last weekend, which was their seventh shutout of the season; no club has kept more clean sheets than the Sky Blues, who are level with Melbourne City.

Nick Ware P/L 25/26 ALM Season (After GW18)

 P/L: +4.6%

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC - To Win to Nil
Sydney FC

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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