Macarthur vs Perth Glory Prediction: Visitors to open up at Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur FC secured their place in the AFC Champions League 2 quarter-finals on Thursday by beating Tai Po 2-1 at Campbelltown Stadium, which is where they return on Sunday (07:00 GMT, TNT Sports 1) for their Australian A-League Men's match against Perth Glory.

Below are my Macarthur vs Perth Glory predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Dean Bosnjak made his return from a four-game injury absence on Thursday, and he looks set for more minutes from the bench this weekend.

Luke Vickery staked his claim for a first league start since October 27 with a second-half brace off the bench against Tai Po.

Damien Da Silva, Chris Ikonomidis and Sebastian Krsklovic (all unspecified) are all out injured, while Henrique Oliveira is on international duty with Australia's U17s.

Football Odds

Perth Glory are able to welcome Brandon O'Neill, Josh Risdon and Arion Sulemani back into their extended squad for the trip to Sydney, but Lachlan Wales, who has started all five games this season, has been ruled out alongside Mark Birighitti, Cameron Cook (both knee), Zach Lisolajski (hamstring), Joel Anasmo (Achilles), Sam Sutton (leg) and Luke Amos (unspecified).

Macarthur vs Perth Glory Odds

Macarthur have won three of their last four games in all competitions, and the Bulls are 5/6 to make it four victories in five on Sunday, implying a 54.5% probability of success. Perth Glory, meanwhile, are 13/5, or a 27.8% chance, to record back-to-back league wins for the first time since January 2023, with the draw priced at 5/2.

Betfred are offering several Price Boosts for this game, including Macarthur FC To Win, Ji Dong-won To Score & Joshua Risdon To Be Carded at 9/1 (was 8/1).

First Team To Score - Perth Glory @ 11/8

Bulls boss Mile Sterjovski is expected to make a few changes to the starting XI that lined up against Tai Po on Thursday, but he's unlikely to make wholesale alterations, and although their midweek match was played on home soil, you wonder whether they might take a little while to get up and running on Sunday against a Glory side that has enjoyed a full week's rest.

Glory should also be on a high after securing their first league win of the season against the Jets, and while Wales has been struck down by injury, the visitors are boosted by the return of first-team regulars Risdon and O'Neill, while captain and star forward Adam Taggart should start after only being deemed fit enough for a substitute appearance last weekend.

Today's Football Fixtures

Macarthur have struggled to get going after AFC Champions League 2 contests this season, conceding first in two of their three games following a midweek match in the competition.

Sterjovski's side have conceded first in three of their five league games this term, and Glory look decent value to open the scoring on Sunday.

Bookings Points Handicap -10 @ 5/2

You could back Glory in the Team With Most Booking Points market at 21/20, but I'm taking things further on and tipping the visitors to overcome a -10 booking points handicap. This means that if Macarthur receive one yellow, amounting to 10 booking points, Glory would need to be issued three yellows (30 booking points), for example, to move on to +20, above the Bulls' +10.

With Betfred, a yellow is worth 10 booking points, a red 25, and a sending off for two bookable offences 35.

Glory are averaging three cards per game in this season's ALM, having picked up 15 yellows across their first five matches. They've overcome a -10 booking points handicap on two occasions, earning 40 to Wellington Phoenix's 20 in a 2-2 draw on October 18, and 50 to the Jets' 10 in last weekend's 2-1 win at McDonald Jones Stadium.

Macarthur have been cautioned 11 times in the league so far this season, but they've yet to be awarded the most booking points in a match, and in last Saturday's 1-0 win at Wellington Phoenix, their opponents were awarded 20 booking points to their zero.

Nick Ware P/L 25/26 ALM Season (After GW5)

 P/L: +14.25