Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction: Two big wins in a week for Victory

Melbourne Victory began the week with a 4-0 thrashing of Sydney FC in the Big Blue, and they can seal a successful seven days with a win against Central Coast Mariners at Polytec Stadium on Sunday (06:00 GMT, TNT Sports 1).
Below are my Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, as 12th hosts eighth in Gosford.
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Betting Tips
- Handicap -1 - Melbourne Victory -1 @ 7/4
- Bet Builder - Clarismario (MVC) Anytime Goalscorer & Melbourne Victory to Win @ 11/4
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Seth Clark could make his Central Coast Mariners debut on Sunday after joining from Sydney Olympic until the end of the season earlier this week.
Trent Sainsbury (Achilles) and Bailey Brandtman (unspecified) look set to miss out for Warren Moon's side, though.
Brendan Hamill (knee) is still sidelined for Melbourne Victory, but fellow central defender and club captain Roderick Miranda is back fit for Sunday’s game.
After inspiring a 4-0 victory over Sydney FC in Monday’s Big Blue, head coach Arthur Diles could name an unchanged starting XI in Gosford.
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Predicted Lineups
- Central Coast Mariners: Redmayne; Herrington, Donachie, Paull; Roux, Tapp, McCalmont, Mauragis; Auglah, James Ngor, Di Pizio
- Melbourne Victory: Warshawsky; Rawlins, Esposito, Jackson, Davidson; D'Arrigo, Genreau; Grimaldi, Mata, Clarismario; Vergos
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Odds
Central Coast Mariners are 18/5, or a 21.7% chance, to grab all three points in Gosford, with Melbourne Victory 8/13, implying a 61.9% probability of success, to triumph there for the first time since February 2019.
The draw, meanwhile, is priced at 11/4, and both teams to score at 4/6.
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Stats
- CCM have lost five of their last eight games (W1, D2)
- MVC have won five of their last seven (L2)
- Clarismario's (MVC) four goals this season have come in his last five apps
Handicap -1 - Melbourne Victory -1 @ 7/4
The Mariners are a mess, on and off the field, right now, which means they are a sitting duck for most teams in the ALM, let alone one, Melbourne Victory, with five wins from their last seven games (L2).
To CCM's credit, they held leaders Auckland to a 2-2 draw in New Zealand last week, and Macarthur 1-1 in Gosford six days prior.
However, it will take a lot to avoid defeat again on Sunday, with Victory fresh off a Big Blue battering of Sydney at the start of the week.
That was Victory's third win this season by a margin of two goals or greater; their first was a 2-0 success at Perth Glory on October 31, and the second was a 5-1 hammering of Wellington Phoenix at AAMI Park on December 29.
The Mariners, meanwhile, have lost half (seven) of their 14 league games this season (D4, W3), including five of their last eight, while they've picked up the fewest points at home (six).
Three of CCM's seven defeats have been by at least two goals, including their most recent loss at Perth Glory (3-0) on January 10.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Bet Builder - Clarismario (MVC) Anytime Goalscorer & Melbourne Victory to Win @ 11/4
Brazilian winger Clarismario only scored four goals in 26 ALM appearances (11 starts) last season, but he's already matched that tally in 14 games (10 starts) this term.
The 24-year-old failed to fire in any of his first nine matches, but he struck his first of the 2025/26 campaign in Victory's final game of 2025, a 5-1 beating of Wellington Phoenix on December 29, and scored in their 3-2 win against Perth Glory four days later.
After back-to-back matches without a goal against Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United, Clarismario found his shooting boots again earlier this week, bagging a brace in the Big Blue with Sydney.
Nick Ware P/L 25/26 ALM Season (After GW14)
P/L: +3.9%
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