Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction: A fifth consecutive CCM success at Suncorp?

In search of a first home win since November 28, Brisbane Roar host a resurgent Central Coast Mariners side at Suncorp Stadium this Saturday (06:00 GMT, TNT Sports 1).

Below are my Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.

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Team News

Jacob Brazete, who hasn't featured since October 31 due to injury, is back in Michael Valkanis' extended squad for Saturday's game.

Jay O’Shea, Milorad Stajic, Henry Hore (all leg) and Nathan Amanatidis (quad) are out injured for Brisbane Roar, while Chris Long is suspended after being sent off in last weekend's 4-1 defeat at Newcastle Jets.

Football Odds

Central Coast Mariners captain Trent Sainsbury (Achilles) misses out again, while head coach Warren Moon has omitted Nicholas Duarte and Arthur De Lima from his extended squad for the trip to Brisbane.

Nathan Paull is suspended after receiving a red card in last Sunday's 1-0 win against Melbourne Victory.

Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners Odds

Brisbane Roar are 4/6 favourites, implying a 60% probability of success, while Central Coast Mariners are 7/2, or a 22.2% chance, to win at Suncorp for the fifth successive season, with the draw offered at 5/2.

Draw No Bet - Central Coast Mariners @ 11/4

The Mariners stunned Melbourne Victory last Sunday, scoring in the 35th minute and holding on for a 1-0 win, despite going down to 10 men in the 55th minute.

Despite off-field issues, Moon's side are now unbeaten in their last three games (W1, D2), a run of form that has lifted them off the foot of the ALM.

Now, the Mariners, with a game in hand, are just five points behind Brisbane, who have lost five of their six matches this calendar year (W1), including all three at home.

Today's Football Fixtures

The Roar's cause isn't helped this weekend by the dual absence of Long and O'Shea, so 18/5 for a Mariners win look very attractive.

I'm adding in the insurance of Draw No Bet, though, meaning that if the match ends level, your stake will be returned.

Brisbane have won the last two head-to-heads, including December's late victory in Gosford, while CCM haven't won either of their last two away games (D1, L1).

Total Goals - Under 2.5 @ 5/6

Just 15 goals have been scored at Suncorp this season, seven for Brisbane, and eight for their opponents, which works out as 2.14 goals per game.

Four of the Roar's seven home contests have produced two or fewer goals, and Valkanis' side have failed to find the net in two of their three games there this calendar year.

Six of CCM's 15 league matches in 2025/26 have gone under 2.5 total goals, and Moon's men are the fourth-lowest scorers in the ALM with 19, after Western Sydney Wanderers (12), Brisbane (16) and Melbourne City (18).

This selection very nearly landed in December, with Justin Vidic's strike in the second minute of second-half stoppage time proving to be the difference.

Nick Ware P/L 25/26 ALM Season (After GW15)

 P/L: +1.3%