Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction: Visitors to avenge November defeat

There's a huge clash heading our way on Sunday (19:45, TNT Sports 1) from Serie A as Atalanta take on Napoli at Gewiss Stadium. The visitors lead the way at the summit on 47 points and Atalanta are four points behind them.

Gli Azzurri have won five games on the bounce heading into this crunch clash, while the hosts have endured three consecutive draws in the top flight. Read on for my Atalanta vs Napoli prediction, supported by the latest match odds and team news.

Atalanta vs Napoli Odds

Atalanta have won six of their last seven home matches in Serie A and they are 5/4 to come out on top on Saturday. Napoli are 21/10, which has an implied probability of 32.3%, to take the three points, which they have accomplished in each of their past four away trips in the league.

The draw can be backed at 11/5, with Atalanta's last three results being stalemates.

Both teams to score has been a winning selection in eight of the nine league games inside this stadium this campaign, and is on offer at 4/5 for Saturday evening.

Football Odds

Team News

Atalanta's Mateo Retegui returned to training last week from a recent injury setback, and he came off the bench to net the equaliser in the draw with Juventus in midweek. The forward could be in contention to start on Saturday in what is a pivotal game in La Dea's season.

Fellow forward Gianluca Scamacca remains the club's notable long-term absentee, while Juan Cuadrado (thigh) and Berat Djimsiti (head) are doubts to be involved. Nigerian winger Ademola Lookman will look to play a key role in this game, and he will be hungry to score as it will mean he has reached double figure returns in each of the last three Serie A campaigns.

The impressive Ederson and Marten de Roon are expected to continue their partnership in the engine room.

For Napoli, they are braced to lose Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to Paris Saint-Germain this month. He has already posted a goodbye video on social media so the transfer looks imminent. Matteo Politano was okay to feature at home to Hellas Verona last time out and he could once again feature in attack alongside Romelu Lukaku and David Neres.

This allowed Leonardo Spinazzola to return to left-back, and the attacking threat he offers here could benefit Antonio Conte's side in Bergamo. In midfield, the visitors have strengthened by adding Philip Billing to their ranks on loan from AFC Bournemouth.

He could be considered to make his debut in this crunch clash, but it may take some time to get in ahead of Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay and Stanislav Lobotka in the pecking order.

Defender Alessandro Buongiorno remains sidelined with a vertebral injury, so Juan Jesus should continue to fill in for him in the backline.

Napoli to win @ 21/10

Napoli have a three-point cushion at the top of the table, but Inter Milan in second do have a game in hand. They have a huge opportunity to give themselves some more breathing space from another title rival in Atalanta with a victory in Bergamo.

Gli Azzurri head here with strong momentum, having won five games on the bounce, and they will be eager to get revenge on La Dea for the 3-0 defeat they suffered in Naples two months ago.

Conte's notorious expertise at winning titles in Serie A sets the visitors up nicely in this title race, particularly with his record of having instant impacts at his previous clubs. He will know how significant a win here will be for his team and the players will be just as fired up for it.

Atalanta have faltered in recent games with their run of draws and Napoli will feel like they can capitalise on this with the confidence wave they are riding at the moment. They have won four consecutive away games in the top flight, and I fancy them to make it five this weekend.

Over 1.5 Napoli goals @ 2/1

This is a game in which Napoli know they will need to step up, and I think their attacking stars will rise to the occasion. Lukaku leads the way for them in the scoring charts with seven in Serie A thus far, showing that his relationship with Conte is just as strong as ever.

His manager and teammates will be looking to him for inspiration against Atalanta, and he is the sort of player who can step up in a big game such as this. The Belgian will need support from his attacking peers, which I believe he will get.

I think there is value to be had in backing Napoli to score over 1.5 goals because this has been successful in their last two appearances in the league, as well as each of their previous three away contests.

Napoli have the luxury of having multiple players in their squad who can share the goal burden, and I think we could see this in action on Saturday.

Offers

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