Group I takes centre stage in Euro 2024 qualification as Andorra host Belarus on Saturday 9th September at 5pm.
Andorra’s 41-year-old midfielder Marc Pujol will hope to add to his 108 caps over this international break, as will captain Ildefons Lima, who is astonishingly still going at the ripe old age of 43.
Meanwhile, like their opponents, Belarus have never qualified for a major tournament as an independent nation. Their squad almost entirely play their football domestically in Belarus, with experienced defender Denis Polyakov the anomaly after his move to Hapoel Haifa.
Andorra win or draw
In truth, neither of these sides have any realistic hope of qualifying for Euro 2024. Between them, they’ve won just one of eight matches in the group so far, and Switzerland, Romania and Israel will contest the top three spots. But that doesn’t mean we can’t find some value.
Andorra, despite their ageing squad, have actually put up a decent fight so far. They’ve lost 2-1 to both Switzerland and Israel, while drawing against Kosovo. Meanwhile Belarus have beaten Kosovo, but lost three other matches in the group.
There isn’t much to choose between the two slides, and while most people would lean towards the 9/10 on offer for Belarus – that doesn’t excite us. Instead, given Andorra’s performances so far this year, we are backing the home side to win or draw at 10/11.
Andorra’s last three matches have ended BTTS yes, and they’ve managed to find the net against better opposition than Belarus. Meanwhile, the last three Belarus games have also ended with both teams on the scoresheet, and they scored away to Romania and at home to Israel.
On paper two poor teams may not deliver goals, but when you look into the statistics and attacking intent these two have shown during this group already, the 11/10 on offer for BTTS yes is far too generous.