Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Prediction: Joao Felix to raise the roof in Riyadh derby

 | Tuesday 12th May 2026, 6:15am

Tuesday 12th May 2026, 6:15am

Al Nassr are closing in on a first Saudi Professional League title since 2018/19, but contenders to the throne Al Hilal can take the race to the final day of the season by beating Cristiano Ronaldo & Co. at the King Saud University Stadium on Tuesday (19:00 BST).

Below are my Al Nassr vs Al Hilal predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds, ahead of this crunch clash in Riyadh.

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Betting Tips

  • Anytime Goalscorer - Joao Felix (NSR) @ 13/10
  • Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under +3.5 - Yes & Over 3.5 @ 6/5

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

Team News

Kingsley Coman and Angelo (both unspecified) both missed Al Nassr’s 4-2 win at Al Shabab last Thursday and are doubts for Tuesday’s game, while Mubarak Al Buainain, Raghed Najjar (both ACL) and Sami Al Najei (knee) are definitely ruled out for Jorge Jesus' side.

Football Odds

Simone Inzaghi's Al Hilal are still without Kalidou Koulibaly, who is continuing his recovery from a hamstring injury, while Hamad Al Yami (knee) remains sidelined, too.

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Predicted Lineups

  • Al Nassr: Bento; Al Ghannam, Al Amri, Martinez, Yahya; Ghareeb, Brozovic, Al Khaibari, Mane; Ronaldo, Joao Felix
  • Al Hilal: Bono; Tambakti, Neves, Al Harbi; S. Al Dawsari; Malcom, Milinkovic-Savic, Kanno, Hernandez; N. Al Dawsari, Benzema

Al Nassr vs Al Hilal Odds

Al Nassr, who haven’t beaten Al Hilal on home soil since February 2021, are 5/4 favourites to triumph on Tuesday and land their first league title for seven years, implying a 44.4% probability of success.

Al Hilal, who won January’s reverse fixture 3-1 in at Kingdom Arena and are on a run of four consecutive SPL victories, are 7/4, or a 36.4% chance, to win and move two points behind the leaders, putting destiny in their own hands with a game in hand.

The draw, meanwhile, can be backed at 13/5.

Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Stats

  • Joao Felix (NSR) hit a hat-trick last time out
  • Both teams have scored in the last seven H2Hs
  • Three of the last four meetings, including the most recent two, have produced 4+ goals

Anytime Goalscorer - Joao Felix (NSR) @ 13/10

Unsurprisingly, the winner of the last two Saudi Pro League Golden Boots, Ronaldo, who trails this season's 30-goal leader Ivan Toney by four heading into Tuesday's game, is favourite in the Anytime Goalscorer market at 5/6, followed by Al Hilal's 17-goal marksman Karim Benzema (21/20).

However, third in line and offering better value at 13/10 is another Portuguese Al Nassr attacker, Joao Felix, who hit a hat-trick in last week's win at Al Shabab.

Today's Football Fixtures

The 26-year-old is now on 20 league goals in a season for the first time in his career, and with four goals in his last two games, should carry a great deal of confidence into Tuesday's Riyadh derby.

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Riyadh - Anytime Goalscorer
Joao Felix

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under +3.5 - Yes & Over 3.5 @ 6/5

Both teams have scored in the last seven head-to-head across all competitions, with three of the last four, including the most recent two, finishing with at least four goals.

Both teams to score and over 3.5 total goals has been a winning bet in three of Al Nassr's last four games across all competitions, including their last two in the league.

Realistically, the visitors need to win on Tuesday to keep their title hopes alive, as otherwise, they'll be reliant on Neom SC and Al Fahya doing them favours.

So, I see plenty of goals in this Riyadh, with both teams getting on the scoresheet at least once.

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Riyadh - Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under +3.5
Yes and Over 3.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

You can read all our latest Football Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.

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