Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction: More goals expected in Florence

 | Thursday 16th April 2026, 6:30

Thursday 16th April 2026, 6:30

Crystal Palace have one foot firmly in the semi-finals of the Uefa Conference League. The Eagles have a comfortable 3-0 lead against Fiorentina ahead of their second leg in Florence on Thursday (20:00 BST, TNT Sports 3).

La Viola have to come out all guns blazing if they wish to reach the last four of this competition for the fourth year running. Read on for my Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace predictions, including the latest team news and match odds.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips

  • Anytime Goalscorer - Ismaila Sarr @ 21/10
  • Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 1/1

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

Team News

Niccolo Fortini and Fabiano Parisi are set to miss out for Fiorentina due to injury troubles. Moise Kean is another absentee for the home side, as he deals with a calf issue.

Dodo is suspended for this clash after picking up a booking at Selhurst Park last week.

Football Odds

Crystal Palace are coping with injuries to Eddie Nketiah (hamstring) and Cheick Doucoure (knee). January signing Evann Guessand is a doubt because of a knock.

Four of Ismaila Sarr's six Conference League goals have come in the knockout stage, and he is set to feature in the final third again.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Predicted Lineups

  • Fiorentina: De Gea; Comuzzo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Gosens; Fabbian, Fagioli, Ndour; Harrison, Piccoli, Gudmundsson
  • Crystal Palace: Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Canvot; Munoz, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Sarr, Mateta, Pino

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Odds

Fiorentina are 5/4 to come out on top in regulation time, and they have four wins from their last seven outings in all competitions.

The draw is priced at 23/10, which has been the outcome in four of Palace's previous six fixtures in the Conference League (inside 90 minutes).

The Eagles are gunning for a three-game winning streak in all competitions, and they are 7/4 to prevail here.

Both teams have found the net in seven of Palace's previous eight away trips, with BTTS - Yes marketed at 4/5 on this occasion.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Stats

  • Ismaila Sarr has 6 goals in the Conference League, with 4 of them coming in the knockout stage
  • Sarr has scored 3 goals in his last 2 away trips in this competition
  • Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 4 of Fiorentina's past 6 matches

Today's Football Fixtures

Anytime Goalscorer - Ismaila Sarr @ 21/10

Palace striker Jean-Philippe Mateta comes into this game having scored three goals in two games, but it's his attacking teammate, Ismaila Sarr, I'm backing to find the net in Florence.

The winger has played an integral role for Palace in Europe this season. The Senegal international has six goals in the Conference League and four of them have come during the knockout stage, including in last week's first leg.

Sarr has scored three goals in his two most recent away trips in this competition, so I think 21/10 (implied probability of 32.3%) is a good price for him to continue his impressive form in front of goal.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - Anytime Goalscorer
Ismaila Sarr

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Total Goals - Over 2.5 @ 1/1

We witnessed three goals in last week's clash, so I think it's only fair to assume there will be more goals to come in this contest. Fiorentina have to go for it to try and overcome the three-goal deficit, while Palace will be eager to shut down any belief La Viola may have ahead of Thursday.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in four of the hosts' past six outings in all competitions. This has also been a winning selection in four of Palace's seven most recent competitive fixtures, including their previous two.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace - Total Goals
Over 2.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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