Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction: Turan’s side to march on

 | Thursday 19th March 2026, 9:10am

Thursday 19th March 2026, 9:10am

Shakhtar Donetsk hold a handy 3-1 advantage ahead of their Uefa Conference League last-16 second-leg clash with Lech Poznan on Thursday evening (20:00 GMT, TNT Sports 10). The Ukrainians won the away leg in good style, but this second leg is also being played in Poland, in Krakow, as the neutral venue for designated home side Shakhtar.

Below are my Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan predictions, alongside all the latest team news and match odds.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Betting Tips

  • Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 21/20
  • Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

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Team News

Shakhtar were without Mykola Matviyenko for the first leg, while Marlon Gomes sat out the weekend win over Metalist 1925.

Having picked up a third yellow card of the Conference League campaign in the first leg, Valeriy Bondar will be suspended here, while Dmytro Kryskiv is an injury doubt for Arda Turan's side.

Kornel Lisman, Alex Douglas, Radoslaw Murawski and Daniel Hakans continue to miss out for Poznan ahead of this Conference League clash.

Football Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Predicted Lineups

  • Shakhtar Donetsk: Riznyk; Tobias, Marlon, Azarovi, Henrique; Ocheretko, Pedrinho, Nazaryna; Isaque, Elias, Newerton
  • Lech Poznan: Mrozek; Pereira, Monka, Milic, Moutinho; Rodriguez, Kozubal; Bengtsson, Palma; Walemark, Ishak

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk won the first leg with plenty to spare and are 1/1 to prevail again in their 'home' game being played in 'neutral' Poland.

Lech Poznan have a mountain to climb and can be backed at 9/4 to register a second-leg success, while the draw is priced at 11/4. Over 2.5 goals is a 4/5 chance, while both teams to score can be backed at 8/11.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Stats

  • SKD have won their last seven games across all comps
  • POZ have scored in their last 23 European matches

Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 21/20

Shakhtar remain top of the Ukrainian top-flight and they have gone 15 competitive games unbeaten since October.

They were worthy winners in the first leg, with 16 shots to Lech Poznan's eight, seven on target compared with three for the hosts and an xG of 1.79 vs 1.45 for the Poles.

The Hirnyky finished sixth in the league phase, five places above Lech Poznan.

Goals from Marlon Gomes and Newerton put Shakhtar in a commanding position in the first leg and they added a third via Isaque after Mikael Ishak had reduced their two-goal cushion.

They have won seven straight games across all competitions and can ensure progress with another success now.

Today's Football Fixtures

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan - Match Result
Shakhtar Donetsk

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5

Goals are likely to flow again in the second leg and it could be over 2.5 once more. Poznan's goal in the first leg means they have scored in 23 European games in a row.

Shakhtar, meanwhile, won't go down without a fight - they have scored a goal in 10 of their last 12 continental losses.

The Ukrainians have netted three goals in four of their last seven games in all competitions, while there have been 16 goals scored in Lech's last five matches.

Swedish forward Ishak has scored three times in five for Lech, while Lassina Traore has four in three for Shakhtar prior to being an unused sub in the first leg.

He got 80 minutes at the weekend and could be a threat in a Donetsk side with plenty of attacking dangers.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan - Total Goals
Over 2.5

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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