Ryanair Chase Trends: Fact To File matches all the trends

 | Wednesday 11th March 2026, 10:19

Wednesday 11th March 2026, 10:19

The 2026 Cheltenham Festival continues on Thursday and the second of two championship races on day three is the Ryanair Chase (16:00).

Here at Betfred Insights, we've taken a look at all the historical Ryanair Chase trends ahead of the big race and highlighted all the horses that fit those patterns to give you an edge on your selections. 

Ryanair Chase Details

  • Race: Ryanair Chase (16:00)
  • Date: March 12 
  • Distance: 2m 4f 127y
  • Race Type: Chase
  • Class/Grade: Grade 1

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Check out all the latest Ryanair Chase Odds over at Betfred

Ryanair Chase Key Historical Trends

Age

  • All the last 14 winners of this race have been between seven and nine years old.

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Impaire Et Passe, Heart Wood, JPR One, Matata, Croke Park, Master Chewy

Official Rating (OR)

  • Seven of the last 10 winners all had an OR of over 165

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Banbridge, Jonbon

Past course winners

  • 17 of the past 21 winners had won at Cheltenham previously

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Banbridge, Jonbon, Impaire Et Passe, Matata

Grade 1 winners

  • 14 of the past 18 had already won at least one Grade 1 race

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Banbridge, Jonbon, Impaire Et Passe, Croke Park

Multiple Winners

  • Since 1987 , there have been eight two-time winners of this race

Runners that match this trend: Captain Guiness (2024)

Trainer Trends

  • Six of the last 10 winners were trained by Willie Mullins

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Impaire Et Passe

Staying Power

  • Since the race became a Grade 1 all 18 winners have previously won over a minimum of 2m 4f.

Runners that match this trend: Fact To File, Banbridge, Jonbon, Impaire Et Passe, Croke Park, Heart Wood, JPR One, Matata

Final Shortlist

  1. Fact To File
  2. Impaire Et Passe
  3. Jonbon/Banbridge
Cheltenham 16:00 - Winner
Fact To File

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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