Weekend Football Tips: Our Weekly Cross-European Treble is a 4.07/1 shot

 | Saturday 21st February 2026, 6:06am

Saturday 21st February 2026, 6:06am

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The 3-3-3 column was back to winning ways last week and thanks to a four wins out of the past eight weeks, the profit situation is looking rather sweet. 

Jamie is back with the latest edition of his the column this weekend and the selections once more come from Italy, Portugal and Spain but for the first time in three weeks, Inter Milan are not represented...

Weekend Football Tips - Cross European Treble

  • Cagliari v Lazio - Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/7
  • Celta Vigo v Mallorca - Back both teams to score @ Evens  
  • Porto v Rio Ave - Back Under 3.5 Goals 8/13  
  • Treble Odds @ 4.07/1

*Odds correct as of the time of publication

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Last year, the 3-3-3 column returned a profit of 17 points, which means that if you'd backed every treble recommended over the course of the season for level £10 stakes, you'd be up by £170. That's one of the better returns you'll see in the tipping business and speaking of returns, Jamie Pacheco is returning again this year to do try to do it all over again, and maybe even improve on it.

Welcome to the 3-3-3 betting column. Why is it called that? Glad you asked. It's not a formation to play when you've had a man sent off but rather:

3 - The number of different selections making up the acca.

3 - The number of different (non-English) European Leagues the selections are taken from every week.

3 - The minimum odds (3/1) or 4.0 if you prefer, that the acca will come to it every week.

And it really is as simple as that. The selections can be from any betting markets, as long as they meet the criteria set out above. And to round things off, every week I'll leave you with a cool (or at least I think so) bit of trivia involving one of the teams featured in the acca. Simples...

2025-26 season Current P and L: +20.35 

2024-25 season's P and L: + 15.9     

Yes, we're back in business. Well, we were in business already with a profit of just under 17 points before last week's effort, but now it's up to 20.35 points, which is a mark we didn't get to for all of last season, so this is uncharted territory for us. Will we feel the pressure? No, I don't think so.  

Inter was the really close call last week, beating Juventus 3-2 thanks to a last-gasp winner, but the boys in black and blue really do carry on doing the business for us one way or another.  

Sociedad got the goal we needed them to for our BTTS bet to come in at Real Madrid, as it ended 4-1, and the Nacional v Porto game was low-scoring as expected.  We needed under 3.5 goals, and it ended just 1-0 to Porto.  

Read on to see what we're going with this week.  

  • Cagliari v Lazio   
  • Saturday 21st Feb 19:45 
  • Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/7  

Lazio and goals certainly haven't gone hand in hand this season. Consider that just 16.7% of their away games this season have had three or more goals in them, which is just 2/12. The figure rises to 38.5% when at home, but that's still not enough to convince us that their games tend to have goals in them, they don't.  

As it happens, their last away ended 2-2 but that really can be considered an anomaly.  

So when they meet Cagliari, we're hoping the trend will continue. After all, Cagliari have a 66.7% strike rate for 'unders' when at home this season, including three of the last four.   

For good measure, it ended 2-0 at Lazio earlier this season, so that one would have been a winner, too.  

  • Celta Vigo v Mallorca  
  • Sunday 22nd February 17:30 
  • Back both teams to score @ Evens  

For our bigger-priced selection of the week, we're going with BTTS in this one.  

The stats suggest we've actually got a considerably better chance than 50/50 of getting it.  

Hosts Celta have seen both teams get on the scoresheet in 66% of their home games and they're 58% on the road, further proof they're inclined to have open games with action and goals.  

Then again, so do Mallorca, which sweetens the prospect of a BTTS win further. They're 75% at home and 58% away.  

It's also a case that two of the last three between them had goals at both ends so you can see why I think it's a particularly good price.  

  • Porto v Rio Ave   
  • Sunday 22nd Feb 20:30 
  • Back Under 3.5 Goals @ 8/13 

As we said already, a low-scoring Porto match provided an easy winner for us last week and that shouldn't have come as any big surprise when we consider both the long-term stats and the recent form. So, at a similar price, albeit with Porto at home this time, we go for the same bet.  

Just 8.3% of the Dragons' away games this campaign have gone over 3.5 and at home it's only a bit bigger at 20%, including all of the last three, and seven of the last eight ending with three or fewer. And let's remember, for the second week running, that they're missing Samu, their top scorer, who's out for a few weeks yet.  

Rio Ave games only had over 3.5 goals in them in 27% of their home games and 45% away. 

And now to the most damning stat of all: the last seven between them played here in the north of Portugal ended with under 3.5 goals.  

Jamie's Fun Fact  

This week's column features the two teams that contested the 1999 UEFA Cup winners' final: Lazio beat Mallorca 2-1 at Villa Park.   

3-3-3 Column
Cross-European Treble
4.07/1

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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Jamie Pacheco predominantly covers Cricket and European Football for us at Betfred Insights. You can check out his Football Betting Tips, along with those from the rest of the team, at our Football hub page...

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