Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction: Ukraine to edge low-scoring tie

Ukraine and Iceland head to Poland for a crucial 2026 World Cup qualifier at the Polish Army Stadium in Warsaw on Sunday (17:00).
Read on for my Ukraine vs Iceland predictions, featuring the latest match odds and team news.
Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction
*odds correct at time of publication
Team News
Forward Artem Dovbyk, who has scored 11 goals for Ukraine, is the big absentee for the Blue and Yellows.
Youngster Arseniy Batahov is also out injured and Ukraine may look to make some changes from the side which lost to France on Thursday.
Daniel Gudjohnsen is in line for just his fifth cap for Iceland and is likely to be supported in attack by Albert Gudmundsson.
Ukraine vs Iceland Predicted Lineups
- Ukraine: Trubin; Karavaev, Zabarnyi, Svatok, Mykhavko, Mykhaylychenko; Ocheretko, Yarmoliuk, Nazaryna; Hutsuliak, Yaremchuk
- Iceland: Olafsson; Palsson, Ingason, Gretarsson, Ellertsson; Haraldsson, Johanesson, J Gudmundsson, A Gudmundsson, Hlynsson; Gudjohnsen
Ukraine are 8/11 for victory in Poland, while Iceland are 4/1 and the draw is priced at 13/5.
Over 2.5 goals is 11/10 and both teams to score is 1/1.
Correct Score - Ukraine 1-0 @ 5/1
A nervous contest is expected when Ukraine and Iceland head for Poland with a place in the 2026 World Cup playoffs on the line and the Blue and Yellows are fancied to secure a narrow success.
Serhiy Rebrov’s men were beaten 4-0 in France on Thursday, but Les Bleus are a top-level side who have run away with the qualifying section.
Prior to the loss to France, Ukraine had beaten Azerbaijan 2-1 in Krakow and got the better of Iceland 5-3 in Reykjavik.
The Blue and Yellows impressed in that high-scoring victory, and while Ukraine are fancied for a repeat success, the tense nature of the final qualifying contest of the campaign may lead to a tight affair.
At 5/1, Rebrov’s men can be backed to win 1-0 on the correct score market.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Under 1.5 goals @ 21/10
Taking a punt on under 1.5 goals in Warsaw could also pay dividends. Ukraine are hampered by the absence of striker Dovbyk and they are unlikely to want to go end-to-end with their best finisher out of the game.
Rebrov’s men failed to register a single shot on target against France, creating an expected goals total of only 0.04, and that indicates a pragmatic approach could be best suited to Ukraine.
Iceland know a draw would be enough for them to secure a play-off spot and that could keep Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s men in their shell.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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